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Updated 32 min. ago

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?

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0 %

chance

▼ −1.1%24h▼ −0.6%1W
Yes 0¢No 100¢

Total volume

$70.9K

24h vol.

$19.3K

1w vol.

$69.7K

1m vol.

$71.8K

Liquidity

$16.2K

Bid / Ask

0¢ / 0¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

0¢

Start date

Oct 10, 2026

End date

Oct 20, 2026

ends in 24 hr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 562 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% one day before resolution, 1.2% resolved YES. Their average price was 0.8%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
0¢$7,493
0¢$10,611
Asks (sell)Size
0¢$1,404
0¢$1,128
1¢$2,109
1¢$2,000
1¢$15
1¢$100
1¢$6
2¢$500
2¢$40
2¢$83

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 85%Sells 15%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
59 min. agoBuy100¢19
59 min. agoBuy0¢19
1 hr. agoSell0¢939
1 hr. agoBuy0¢939
1 hr. agoBuy100¢11
1 hr. agoBuy0¢11
2 hr. agoBuy100¢147
2 hr. agoBuy0¢147
2 hr. agoBuy100¢57
2 hr. agoBuy0¢57
2 hr. agoBuy100¢57
2 hr. agoBuy0¢57
3 hr. agoBuy100¢1,740
3 hr. agoBuy0¢387
3 hr. agoBuy0¢300
3 hr. agoBuy0¢20
3 hr. agoBuy0¢20
3 hr. agoBuy0¢20
3 hr. agoBuy0¢20
3 hr. agoBuy0¢20
3 hr. agoBuy0¢20
3 hr. agoBuy0¢20
3 hr. agoBuy0¢20
3 hr. agoBuy0¢20
3 hr. agoBuy0¢20
3 hr. agoBuy0¢20
3 hr. agoBuy0¢20
3 hr. agoBuy0¢20
3 hr. agoBuy0¢20
3 hr. agoBuy0¢20
3 hr. agoBuy0¢200
3 hr. agoBuy0¢20
3 hr. agoBuy0¢200
3 hr. agoBuy0¢333
3 hr. agoBuy100¢824
3 hr. agoBuy0¢100
3 hr. agoBuy0¢724
3 hr. agoBuy100¢11
3 hr. agoBuy0¢11
3 hr. agoBuy100¢23
3 hr. agoBuy0¢23
4 hr. agoBuy100¢19
4 hr. agoBuy0¢19
4 hr. agoSell0¢530
4 hr. agoBuy0¢530
4 hr. agoBuy100¢23
4 hr. agoBuy0¢14
4 hr. agoSell100¢9
4 hr. agoBuy1¢787
4 hr. agoSell1¢7

◆ Smart money

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Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.