← Dashboard · Politics
Updated 32 min. ago

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?
0 %
chance
Elon Musk # tweets October 13 - October 20, 2026?
11 outcomesTotal volume
$70.9K
24h vol.
$19.3K
1w vol.
$69.7K
1m vol.
$71.8K
Liquidity
$16.2K
Bid / Ask
0¢ / 0¢
Spread 0¢
Last trade
0¢
Start date
Oct 10, 2026
End date
Oct 20, 2026
ends in 24 hr.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 562 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% one day before resolution, 1.2% resolved YES. Their average price was 0.8%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 0¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 min. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 19 |
| 59 min. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 19 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 939 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 939 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 11 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 11 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 147 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 147 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 57 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 57 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 57 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 57 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 1,740 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 387 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 300 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 20 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 20 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 20 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 20 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 20 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 20 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 20 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 20 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 20 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 20 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 20 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 20 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 20 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 20 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 20 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 200 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 20 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 200 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 333 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 824 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 100 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 724 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 11 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 11 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 23 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 23 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 19 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 19 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 530 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 530 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 23 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 14 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 9 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 787 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 7 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
Related markets
The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.