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Updated 4 days ago

Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for China by December 31?

Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for China by December 31?

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9 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h
Yes 9¢No 92¢

Who will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for in 2026?

10 outcomes

Total volume

$9.8K

24h vol.

$16.141

1w vol.

$9.8K

1m vol.

$9.8K

Liquidity

$22.6K

Bid / Ask

8¢ / 9¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

9¢

Start date

Oct 14, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 1,182 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 13.7% resolved YES. That is 4.0 points more often than their average price of 9.7% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
9¢$930
8¢$2,119
7¢$2,054
6¢$799
5¢$3,115
4¢$323
3¢$549
2¢$1,047
1¢$2,449
Asks (sell)Size
11¢$857
12¢$3,172
13¢$556
14¢$553
15¢$40
17¢$5
19¢$17
20¢$5
33¢$100
37¢$8

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

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Recent trades (50)

Buys 76%Sells 24%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
4 days agoBuy11¢91
4 days agoSell11¢65
4 days agoBuy89¢26
4 days agoBuy11¢14
4 days agoBuy89¢14
5 days agoBuy11¢18
5 days agoBuy89¢18
5 days agoBuy11¢30
5 days agoBuy89¢30
5 days agoBuy9¢10
5 days agoBuy91¢10
5 days agoBuy10¢30
5 days agoSell10¢30
5 days agoBuy91¢5
5 days agoSell91¢0
5 days agoSell91¢5
5 days agoBuy10¢987
5 days agoBuy89¢112
5 days agoSell11¢21
5 days agoSell10¢100
5 days agoBuy90¢395
5 days agoBuy90¢11
5 days agoBuy90¢347
5 days agoSell90¢153
5 days agoBuy90¢153
5 days agoBuy91¢5
5 days agoSell91¢5
5 days agoBuy91¢300
5 days agoSell91¢300
5 days agoBuy90¢916
5 days agoBuy10¢206
5 days agoSell90¢222
5 days agoSell90¢427
5 days agoSell90¢61
5 days agoBuy91¢206
5 days agoSell91¢50
5 days agoBuy9¢51
5 days agoBuy9¢105
5 days agoBuy10¢150
5 days agoSell10¢51
5 days agoSell10¢99
5 days agoBuy10¢200
5 days agoSell10¢34
5 days agoBuy90¢110
5 days agoSell10¢56
5 days agoBuy9¢280
5 days agoBuy91¢270
5 days agoBuy91¢10
5 days agoBuy91¢200
5 days agoBuy9¢62

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