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Updated 5 days ago

Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for North Korea by December 31?

Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for North Korea by December 31?

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2 %

chance

▼ −0.4%1h▲ +0.0%24h
Yes 2¢No 98¢

Who will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for in 2026?

10 outcomes

Total volume

$1.7K

24h vol.

$1.4K

1w vol.

$1.4K

1m vol.

$1.4K

Liquidity

$13.5K

Bid / Ask

1¢ / 4¢

Spread 3¢

Last trade

1¢

Start date

Oct 14, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 152 resolved Polymarket Geopolitics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 2.6% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.4%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
1¢$508
1¢$1,455
0¢$120
0¢$200
0¢$7,855
Asks (sell)Size
3¢$102
3¢$25
4¢$500
4¢$5
5¢$9
5¢$770
6¢$500
10¢$10
11¢$109
30¢$20

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

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uses 1 credit

Recent trades (49)

Buys 75%Sells 25%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
5 days agoSell1¢182
5 days agoBuy1¢152
5 days agoBuy1¢30
5 days agoSell1¢20
5 days agoSell99¢20
5 days agoSell1¢100
5 days agoSell99¢100
5 days agoSell1¢40
5 days agoSell99¢40
5 days agoSell98¢50
5 days agoSell2¢50
5 days agoSell1¢20
5 days agoBuy1¢20
5 days agoSell2¢20
5 days agoBuy2¢20
5 days agoSell2¢20
5 days agoBuy2¢20
5 days agoSell3¢20
5 days agoBuy3¢20
5 days agoSell4¢14
5 days agoBuy4¢9
5 days agoBuy4¢5
5 days agoBuy96¢40
5 days agoBuy4¢20
5 days agoBuy5¢20
5 days agoBuy95¢120
5 days agoBuy5¢0
5 days agoBuy5¢120
5 days agoBuy95¢60
5 days agoBuy5¢60
5 days agoBuy94¢665
5 days agoBuy6¢20
5 days agoBuy6¢20
5 days agoBuy6¢20
5 days agoBuy6¢60
5 days agoBuy6¢66
5 days agoBuy6¢60
5 days agoBuy6¢60
5 days agoBuy6¢20
5 days agoBuy6¢109
5 days agoBuy6¢100
5 days agoBuy6¢40
5 days agoBuy6¢20
5 days agoBuy6¢20
5 days agoBuy6¢50
5 days agoBuy95¢20
5 days agoBuy5¢20
5 days agoBuy95¢20
5 days agoBuy5¢20

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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