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Updated 4 days ago

Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Google by December 31?

Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Google by December 31?

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2 %

chance

▲ +0.2%24h
Yes 2¢No 98¢

Who will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for in 2026?

10 outcomes

Total volume

$14.8K

24h vol.

$533.07

1w vol.

$7.5K

1m vol.

$7.5K

Liquidity

$18.3K

Bid / Ask

1¢ / 3¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

2¢

Start date

Oct 14, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 152 resolved Polymarket Geopolitics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 2.6% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.4%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
1¢$70
1¢$2,022
1¢$20,867
1¢$2,857
1¢$3,333
1¢$3,000
0¢$3,750
0¢$3,333
0¢$3,163
0¢$4,746
Asks (sell)Size
3¢$90
3¢$127
3¢$105
3¢$533
4¢$1,195
4¢$1,485
5¢$50
8¢$1,000
9¢$25
11¢$8

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 97%Sells 3%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
5 days agoSell1¢100
5 days agoBuy1¢100
5 days agoBuy99¢5
5 days agoBuy1¢5
5 days agoSell2¢5
5 days agoBuy2¢5
5 days agoBuy99¢62
5 days agoBuy1¢52
5 days agoBuy1¢10
5 days agoBuy99¢180
5 days agoBuy1¢170
5 days agoBuy1¢10
5 days agoBuy99¢28
5 days agoBuy1¢28
5 days agoBuy99¢5
5 days agoBuy1¢5
5 days agoBuy99¢178
5 days agoBuy1¢178
5 days agoBuy98¢1,801
5 days agoBuy2¢51
5 days agoBuy2¢800
5 days agoBuy2¢950
5 days agoSell2¢18
5 days agoBuy2¢18
5 days agoBuy98¢5
5 days agoBuy2¢5
5 days agoSell2¢18
5 days agoBuy2¢18
5 days agoBuy97¢2
5 days agoBuy2¢1
5 days agoSell97¢2
5 days agoBuy98¢8
5 days agoBuy2¢8
5 days agoBuy97¢5
5 days agoSell97¢5
5 days agoBuy4¢25
5 days agoBuy96¢25
5 days agoBuy97¢5
5 days agoBuy3¢5
5 days agoBuy97¢18
5 days agoBuy3¢18
5 days agoBuy97¢53
5 days agoBuy3¢18
5 days agoBuy3¢35
5 days agoBuy97¢8
5 days agoBuy3¢8
5 days agoBuy97¢52
5 days agoBuy3¢52
5 days agoBuy97¢5
5 days agoBuy3¢5

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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