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Updated 4 days ago

Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Anthropic by December 31?

Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Anthropic by December 31?

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4 %

chance

▲ +0.1%1h▲ +0.0%24h
Yes 4¢No 96¢

Who will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for in 2026?

10 outcomes

Total volume

$14.5K

24h vol.

$14.4K

1w vol.

$14.4K

1m vol.

$14.4K

Liquidity

$23.3K

Bid / Ask

3¢ / 4¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

4¢

Start date

Oct 14, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 152 resolved Polymarket Geopolitics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 2.6% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.4%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
4¢$55
4¢$20
3¢$105
3¢$22
3¢$545
3¢$603
3¢$58
3¢$315
3¢$826
3¢$164
Asks (sell)Size
5¢$930
5¢$50
6¢$1,204
6¢$883
6¢$1,641
6¢$1,223
6¢$500
7¢$1,215
8¢$1,285
8¢$50

Snapshot from cache

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Recent trades (50)

Buys 60%Sells 40%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
5 days agoBuy96¢5
5 days agoSell96¢5
5 days agoBuy96¢148
5 days agoBuy4¢148
5 days agoBuy5¢250
5 days agoBuy95¢120
5 days agoSell5¢130
5 days agoSell95¢67
5 days agoSell5¢37
5 days agoBuy95¢30
5 days agoSell95¢130
5 days agoSell5¢100
5 days agoBuy95¢30
5 days agoSell96¢634
5 days agoBuy95¢50
5 days agoBuy95¢154
5 days agoSell5¢215
5 days agoSell4¢100
5 days agoSell4¢100
5 days agoSell4¢15
5 days agoBuy5¢50
5 days agoSell5¢50
5 days agoSell3¢105
5 days agoBuy3¢105
5 days agoSell3¢210
5 days agoBuy3¢105
5 days agoBuy3¢20
5 days agoBuy3¢85
5 days agoBuy97¢120
5 days agoBuy3¢120
5 days agoBuy96¢831
5 days agoBuy4¢483
5 days agoBuy4¢60
5 days agoBuy4¢60
5 days agoBuy4¢28
5 days agoBuy4¢200
5 days agoSell4¢15
5 days agoBuy4¢15
5 days agoSell95¢20
5 days agoSell5¢20
5 days agoSell5¢200
5 days agoBuy5¢20
5 days agoBuy5¢167
5 days agoBuy5¢13
5 days agoSell5¢387
5 days agoBuy5¢187
5 days agoBuy5¢200
5 days agoBuy95¢60
5 days agoBuy5¢15
5 days agoSell95¢40

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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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