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Updated 4 days ago

Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for SpaceXAI / Elon Musk by December 31?

Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for SpaceXAI / Elon Musk by December 31?

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4 %

chance

▲ +0.1%1h▲ +0.0%24h
Yes 4¢No 96¢

Who will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for in 2026?

10 outcomes

Total volume

$8.7K

24h vol.

$4

1w vol.

$8.7K

1m vol.

$8.7K

Liquidity

$25.7K

Bid / Ask

3¢ / 4¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

4¢

Start date

Oct 14, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 152 resolved Polymarket Geopolitics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 2.6% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.4%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
3¢$20
3¢$290
3¢$1,105
3¢$1,050
3¢$706
2¢$252
2¢$840
2¢$655
2¢$216
2¢$1,500
Asks (sell)Size
4¢$200
4¢$150
4¢$50
5¢$204
5¢$1,039
5¢$59
5¢$1,200
5¢$1,481
5¢$500
6¢$1,196

Snapshot from cache

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Recent trades (50)

Buys 80%Sells 20%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
5 days agoSell4¢395
5 days agoBuy4¢185
5 days agoBuy4¢200
5 days agoBuy5¢10
5 days agoBuy95¢36
5 days agoBuy5¢36
5 days agoBuy95¢64
5 days agoBuy5¢64
5 days agoBuy94¢1,000
5 days agoBuy6¢14
5 days agoBuy6¢50
5 days agoBuy6¢133
5 days agoBuy6¢198
5 days agoBuy6¢205
5 days agoBuy6¢400
5 days agoBuy95¢133
5 days agoBuy5¢97
5 days agoBuy6¢36
5 days agoBuy93¢120
5 days agoBuy7¢120
5 days agoSell92¢5
5 days agoBuy92¢5
5 days agoSell92¢875
5 days agoBuy92¢5
5 days agoBuy92¢50
5 days agoBuy92¢600
5 days agoSell8¢120
5 days agoSell8¢100
5 days agoBuy93¢500
5 days agoBuy7¢496
5 days agoSell93¢4
5 days agoBuy93¢1
5 days agoSell93¢1
5 days agoSell7¢100
5 days agoBuy7¢100
5 days agoBuy93¢100
5 days agoBuy7¢100
5 days agoBuy93¢120
5 days agoBuy7¢120
5 days agoBuy92¢875
5 days agoBuy8¢100
5 days agoBuy8¢60
5 days agoBuy8¢60
5 days agoSell92¢31
5 days agoBuy8¢395
5 days agoSell92¢39
5 days agoBuy8¢150
5 days agoSell92¢40
5 days agoSell91¢40
5 days agoBuy91¢40

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