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Updated 1 mo. ago
Will Ra'am win exactly 5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?
7 %
chance
Market brief
- Down 32.3 pp over the past week (−25.3 pp in the last 24 hours), after touching 36% on Sep 13, 2026.
- Last 50 trades: 28 buys, 22 sells; the largest was $39 (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
- Historically, 10% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before the end resolved YES (251 cases).
- Scheduled to end in 1 mo. (Nov 30, 2026).
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Total volume
$35.5K
24h vol.
$31.3K
1w vol.
$32.2K
1m vol.
$34.1K
Liquidity
$22.3K
Bid / Ask
6¢ / 8¢
Spread 2¢
Last trade
7¢
Start date
Sep 4, 2026
End date
Nov 30, 2026
ends in 1 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 251 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 10.4% resolved YES. Their average price was 9.4%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades
Orderbook
Spread: 5¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 66¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 34¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 25¢ | 89 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 75¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 24¢ | 39 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 75¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 25¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 27¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 73¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 23¢ | 18 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 23¢ | 18 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 69¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 69¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 31¢ | 44 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 31¢ | 44 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 70¢ | 1 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 1 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 70¢ | 9 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 9 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 70¢ | 3 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 3 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 25¢ | 6 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 25¢ | 6 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 23¢ | 170 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 77¢ | 50 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 23¢ | 95 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 22¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 22¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 20¢ | 1 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 20¢ | 1 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 20¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 20¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 22¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 22¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 73¢ | 2 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 73¢ | 2 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 80¢ | 10 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 20¢ | 10 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 26¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 74¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 20¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 20¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 20¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 20¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 20¢ | 30 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 20¢ | 30 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 20¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 20¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 19 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 20¢ | 4 |
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