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Updated 5 days ago
Will "The Black Ball" be nominated for Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?
70 %
chance
Oscars 2027: Best Original Score Nominations
12 outcomesTotal volume
$761.749
24h vol.
$264
1w vol.
$761.749
1m vol.
$761.749
Liquidity
$661.548
Bid / Ask
52¢ / 87¢
Spread 35¢
Last trade
50¢
Start date
Oct 14, 2026
End date
Mar 15, 2027
ends in 5 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 1,762 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 65–85% seven days before resolution, 68.5% resolved YES. That is 4.6 points less often than their average price of 73.1% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 2¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (2)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 days ago | Buy | 49¢ | 20 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 51¢ | 20 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
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