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Updated 5 days ago

Will "Disclosure Day" be nominated for Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?

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70 %

chance

▲ +1.0%1h▲ +6.5%24h
Yes 70¢No 30¢

Oscars 2027: Best Original Score Nominations

12 outcomes

Total volume

$3.1K

24h vol.

$67

1w vol.

$3.1K

1m vol.

$3.1K

Liquidity

$1.7K

Bid / Ask

66¢ / 74¢

Spread 8¢

Last trade

62¢

Start date

Oct 14, 2026

End date

Mar 15, 2027

ends in 5 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 1,762 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 65–85% seven days before resolution, 68.5% resolved YES. That is 4.6 points less often than their average price of 73.1% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 6¢
Bids (buy)Size
64¢$20
63¢$60
62¢$20
3¢$22
2¢$47
1¢$12
Asks (sell)Size
70¢$20
71¢$60
73¢$20
90¢$21
97¢$24
98¢$47
99¢$7

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

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Recent trades (7)

Buys 88%Sells 12%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
5 days agoSell30¢20
5 days agoBuy30¢20
5 days agoBuy66¢20
5 days agoBuy34¢20
5 days agoBuy63¢40
5 days agoBuy37¢20
5 days agoBuy37¢20

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