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Updated 5 days ago
Will "The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth" be nominated for Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?
11 %
chance
Oscars 2027: Best Original Score Nominations
12 outcomesTotal volume
$3.6K
24h vol.
$60
1w vol.
$3.6K
1m vol.
$3.6K
Liquidity
$1.6K
Bid / Ask
10¢ / 12¢
Spread 2¢
Last trade
10¢
Start date
Oct 14, 2026
End date
Mar 15, 2027
ends in 5 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 221 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 16.7% resolved YES. That is 7.1 points more often than their average price of 9.6% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 4¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (43)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 days ago | Buy | 16¢ | 30 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 84¢ | 30 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 72¢ | 92 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 26¢ | 22 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 28¢ | 20 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 28¢ | 20 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 28¢ | 30 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 23¢ | 20 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 23¢ | 20 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 20¢ | 120 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 80¢ | 20 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 20¢ | 20 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 20¢ | 20 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 20¢ | 40 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 20¢ | 20 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 22¢ | 20 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 22¢ | 20 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 65¢ | 240 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 34¢ | 20 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 34¢ | 20 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 34¢ | 20 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 35¢ | 20 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 35¢ | 40 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 35¢ | 20 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 35¢ | 20 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 36¢ | 20 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 36¢ | 20 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 36¢ | 20 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 36¢ | 20 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 63¢ | 0 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 63¢ | 0 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 65¢ | 20 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 35¢ | 20 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 64¢ | 50 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 36¢ | 20 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 36¢ | 30 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 23¢ | 50 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 77¢ | 50 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 69¢ | 160 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 30¢ | 20 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 30¢ | 20 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 31¢ | 100 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 32¢ | 20 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
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Smart money is a Pro+ feature
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◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
Related markets
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