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Updated 5 days ago

Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?

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59 %

chance

▼ −2.0%1h▼ −2.5%24h
Yes 59¢No 42¢

Oscars 2027: Best Original Score Nominations

12 outcomes

Total volume

$1K

24h vol.

$10

1w vol.

$1K

1m vol.

$1K

Liquidity

$1.9K

Bid / Ask

58¢ / 59¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

57¢

Start date

Oct 14, 2026

End date

Mar 15, 2027

ends in 5 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 113 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 35.4% resolved YES. That is 10.0 points less often than their average price of 45.4% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 5¢
Bids (buy)Size
65¢$60
64¢$20
62¢$60
59¢$20
58¢$38
57¢$20
56¢$100
10¢$21
3¢$10
2¢$15
Asks (sell)Size
70¢$20
71¢$199
97¢$23
98¢$47
99¢$10

Snapshot from cache

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Recent trades (33)

Buys 98%Sells 2%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
5 days agoBuy32¢20
5 days agoBuy68¢20
5 days agoBuy32¢20
5 days agoBuy68¢20
5 days agoBuy30¢80
5 days agoBuy70¢20
5 days agoBuy70¢20
5 days agoBuy70¢20
5 days agoSell30¢20
5 days agoBuy57¢300
5 days agoBuy42¢13
5 days agoBuy42¢40
5 days agoBuy43¢22
5 days agoBuy43¢20
5 days agoBuy43¢25
5 days agoBuy43¢120
5 days agoBuy43¢20
5 days agoBuy44¢20
5 days agoBuy44¢20
5 days agoBuy58¢7
5 days agoBuy42¢7
5 days agoBuy58¢20
5 days agoBuy42¢13
5 days agoBuy42¢7
5 days agoBuy58¢20
5 days agoBuy42¢13
5 days agoBuy42¢7
5 days agoBuy56¢2
5 days agoBuy44¢2
5 days agoBuy53¢2
5 days agoBuy47¢2
5 days agoBuy55¢20
5 days agoBuy45¢20

◆ Smart money

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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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