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Updated 5 days ago

Will "Behemoth!" be nominated for Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?

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37 %

chance

▲ +2.0%1h▼ −15.5%24h
Yes 37¢No 63¢

Oscars 2027: Best Original Score Nominations

12 outcomes

Total volume

$5.1K

24h vol.

$4.2K

1w vol.

$5.1K

1m vol.

$5.1K

Liquidity

$984.963

Bid / Ask

32¢ / 42¢

Spread 10¢

Last trade

38¢

Start date

Oct 14, 2026

End date

Mar 15, 2027

ends in 5 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 113 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 35.4% resolved YES. That is 10.0 points less often than their average price of 45.4% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 75¢
Bids (buy)Size
20¢$92
5¢$11
4¢$180
3¢$300
1¢$21
Asks (sell)Size
95¢$7
96¢$13
99¢$42

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (18)

Buys 95%Sells 5%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
5 days agoSell56¢20
5 days agoBuy56¢20
5 days agoBuy44¢92
5 days agoBuy55¢12
5 days agoBuy55¢20
5 days agoBuy56¢20
5 days agoBuy56¢20
5 days agoBuy56¢20
5 days agoBuy46¢20
5 days agoBuy54¢10
5 days agoBuy54¢10
5 days agoBuy46¢20
5 days agoBuy54¢12
5 days agoBuy55¢8
5 days agoBuy31¢20
5 days agoBuy69¢20
5 days agoBuy42¢20
5 days agoBuy58¢20

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

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◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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Related markets

The most-traded open Culture markets from other events.