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Updated 5 days ago

Will "The Drama" be nominated for Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?

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5 %

chance

▼ −0.1%1h▲ +2.4%24h
Yes 5¢No 95¢

Total volume

$341.58

24h vol.

$69.77

1w vol.

$341.58

1m vol.

$341.58

Liquidity

$586.683

Bid / Ask

3¢ / 7¢

Spread 4¢

Last trade

1¢

Start date

Oct 14, 2026

End date

Mar 15, 2027

ends in 5 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 400 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.5% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 3¢
Bids (buy)Size
6¢$330
5¢$61
4¢$7
3¢$100
1¢$49
Asks (sell)Size
9¢$250
10¢$222
90¢$21
99¢$78

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (2)

Buys 100%Sells 0%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
5 days agoBuy9¢21
5 days agoBuy91¢21

◆ Smart money

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Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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