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Updated 5 days ago
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?
54 %
chance
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
9 outcomesTotal volume
$12.7K
24h vol.
$7.8K
1w vol.
$12.7K
1m vol.
$12.7K
Liquidity
$50K
Bid / Ask
53¢ / 54¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
53¢
Start date
Oct 14, 2026
End date
Nov 23, 2026
ends in 1 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 8,870 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 48.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 49.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 8¢Snapshot from cache
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Recent trades (2)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 days ago | Buy | 50¢ | 50 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 50¢ | 50 |
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