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Updated 27 min. ago

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Politics
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19 %

chance

▼ −1.0%24h▼ −3.0%1W
Yes 19¢No 82¢

Total volume

$2.4M

24h vol.

$79.7K

1w vol.

$237.3K

1m vol.

$746K

Liquidity

$359K

Bid / Ask

18¢ / 19¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

19¢

Start date

Nov 13, 2025

End date

Apr 19, 2027

ends in 6 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 153 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 20.3% resolved YES. Their average price was 21.3%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
18¢$114,815
17¢$86,002
16¢$189,980
15¢$113,195
14¢$385
13¢$815
12¢$15
11¢$310
10¢$213
9¢$5
Asks (sell)Size
19¢$14,252
20¢$3,004
21¢$11,026
22¢$14,611
23¢$29,138
24¢$35,037
25¢$140,219
26¢$2,360
27¢$6,857
28¢$7,310

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 43%Sells 57%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
31 min. agoBuy19¢26
31 min. agoSell19¢26
36 min. agoBuy19¢500
36 min. agoSell19¢500
37 min. agoBuy19¢1,000
37 min. agoSell19¢1,000
1 hr. agoBuy19¢77
1 hr. agoSell19¢77
1 hr. agoSell18¢5
1 hr. agoBuy18¢5
3 hr. agoBuy19¢1,500
3 hr. agoSell19¢1,500
3 hr. agoSell18¢1
3 hr. agoBuy18¢1
4 hr. agoSell18¢13
4 hr. agoBuy18¢13
4 hr. agoBuy19¢7
4 hr. agoSell19¢7
4 hr. agoBuy19¢6
4 hr. agoSell19¢6
4 hr. agoBuy19¢9
4 hr. agoSell19¢9
4 hr. agoSell18¢72
4 hr. agoBuy18¢72
4 hr. agoBuy19¢28
4 hr. agoSell19¢28
4 hr. agoSell18¢500
4 hr. agoBuy18¢215
4 hr. agoSell82¢200
4 hr. agoSell82¢49
4 hr. agoSell82¢10
4 hr. agoSell82¢26
4 hr. agoSell19¢500
4 hr. agoSell82¢74
4 hr. agoBuy19¢100
4 hr. agoSell81¢326
4 hr. agoSell19¢150
4 hr. agoSell81¢4
4 hr. agoBuy19¢146
4 hr. agoBuy20¢19
4 hr. agoBuy80¢19
4 hr. agoBuy81¢1
4 hr. agoBuy19¢1
4 hr. agoBuy20¢20
4 hr. agoBuy80¢20
4 hr. agoSell19¢150
4 hr. agoBuy19¢150
4 hr. agoBuy81¢1
4 hr. agoBuy19¢1
4 hr. agoBuy20¢20

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