← Dashboard · Politics
Updated 1 day ago
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets in November 2026?
0 %
chance
Market brief
- Down 45.5 pp in the last 24 hours, after touching 46% on Oct 24, 2026.
- Historically, 2% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before the end resolved YES (462 cases).
- Scheduled to end in 1 mo. (Dec 1, 2026).
◆ Your call
What's your number?
Pick your own probability before you read the AI — then see how it compares.
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Elon Musk # tweets in November 2026?
46 outcomes- 1000+73 %
- 960-99910 %
- 920-95910 %
- 880-9194 %
- 800-8394 %
- 840-8793 %
- 780-7992 %
- 760-7791 %
- 740-7591 %
- 560-5791 %
- 700-7191 %
- 680-6991 %
- 720-7391 %
- 580-5990 %
- 600-6190 %
- 640-6590 %
- 660-6790 %
- 620-6390 %
- 540-5590 %
- 20-390 %
- 520-5390 %
- 480-4990 %
- 460-4790 %
- <200 %
- 420-4390 %
- 440-4590 %
- 500-5190 %
- 60-790 %
- 140-1590 %
- 200-2190 %
- 340-3590 %
- 300-3190 %
- 360-3790 %
- 320-3390 %
- 400-4190 %
- 220-2390 %
- 180-1990 %
- 380-3990 %
- 120-1390 %
- 240-2590 %
- 160-1790 %
- 260-2790 %
- 280-2990 %
- 100-1190 %
- 80-990 %
- 40-590 %
Total volume
$1K
24h vol.
$1K
1w vol.
$1K
1m vol.
$1K
Liquidity
$2.4K
Bid / Ask
1¢ / 0¢
Spread 0¢
Start date
Oct 24, 2026
End date
Dec 1, 2026
ends in 1 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 462 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.9% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades
Orderbook
No orders
Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (3)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day ago | Sell | 1¢ | 211 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 1¢ | 9 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 1¢ | 9 |
Related markets
The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House8 %▲ +0.0%
- Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?50 %▼ −22.0%
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?96 %▲ +2.0%
- Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?100 %▲ +0.0%
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?28 %▲ +2.0%
- US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?90 %▲ +3.0%
Keep exploring
Moving today
Open markets with the biggest 24-hour moves on real volume.