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Updated 27 min. ago

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 15?

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 15?

Crypto

77 %

chance

▼ −9.2%1h▼ −14.5%24h
Yes 77¢No 23¢
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Market brief

  • Down 14.4 pp in the last 24 hours, after touching 96% on Nov 11, 2026.
  • Last 50 trades: 22 buys, 28 sells; the largest was $309 (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 74% of Polymarket Crypto markets priced 65–85% one day before the end resolved YES (125 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
  • Scheduled to end in 3 days (Nov 15, 2026).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

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✦ AI assessment

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Bitcoin above ___ on November 15?

11 outcomes

Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$10.2K

24h vol.

$9.4K

Liquidity

$44.7K

End date

Nov 15, 2026

ends in 3 days

What a plan adds on this market

Only what exists for this market right now.

  • Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
  • Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
  • Underlying assetPro+Spot price, the move this market still needs, and how often the asset has managed it before.
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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

1w vol.

$10.2K

Bid / Ask

77¢ / 77¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

77¢

Start date

Nov 8, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
77¢$225
76¢$206
75¢$10
75¢$210
75¢$5,000
73¢$5
73¢$5
73¢$5
73¢$355
73¢$7,105
Asks (sell)Size
78¢$7,100
79¢$782
82¢$340
85¢$10,710
88¢$75
88¢$25
90¢$20
92¢$20
92¢$20
95¢$7

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (50)

Buys 19%Sells 81%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
37 min. agoSell80¢1
43 min. agoSell80¢5
44 min. agoSell81¢150
59 min. agoSell80¢500
1 hr. agoSell84¢6
1 hr. agoBuy84¢2
1 hr. agoSell84¢500
1 hr. agoBuy85¢8
1 hr. agoBuy85¢8
1 hr. agoBuy85¢7
1 hr. agoBuy85¢9
1 hr. agoBuy85¢14
1 hr. agoBuy85¢207
1 hr. agoBuy85¢16
2 hr. agoSell87¢6
2 hr. agoBuy85¢35
2 hr. agoBuy89¢3
2 hr. agoBuy84¢48
2 hr. agoSell30¢2
2 hr. agoSell90¢300
4 hr. agoSell93¢500
4 hr. agoSell93¢20
5 hr. agoBuy94¢8
5 hr. agoBuy94¢280
5 hr. agoBuy94¢210
6 hr. agoBuy93¢210
6 hr. agoSell94¢10
14 hr. agoBuy94¢138
14 hr. agoBuy95¢21
16 hr. agoBuy94¢2
16 hr. agoSell95¢1,570
16 hr. agoSell95¢2
16 hr. agoSell95¢174
16 hr. agoSell95¢42
16 hr. agoSell95¢3,159
16 hr. agoSell95¢53
18 hr. agoSell95¢98
18 hr. agoBuy97¢230
18 hr. agoBuy97¢320
19 hr. agoSell95¢300
20 hr. agoSell95¢20
22 hr. agoSell95¢200
22 hr. agoBuy95¢11
1 day agoBuy93¢3
1 day agoSell91¢9
2 days agoSell87¢47
2 days agoSell89¢9
2 days agoSell89¢52
2 days agoSell90¢9
2 days agoSell90¢13
Rules & resolution

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Event:
Bitcoin above ___ on November 15?
Resolution source:
https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT

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