Updated 3 days ago

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 15?

Crypto

16 %

chance

▼ −5.0%24h

Yes 16¢No 84¢

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Market brief

Down 5.0 pp in the last 24 hours, after touching 54% on Nov 8, 2026.
Historically, 24% of Polymarket Crypto markets priced 15–35% one day before the end resolved YES (137 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
Scheduled to end in 3 days (Nov 15, 2026).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

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Bitcoin above ___ on November 15?

11 outcomes

Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$414.4

24h vol.

$28.903

Liquidity

$22.4K

End date

Nov 15, 2026

ends in 3 days

What a plan adds on this market

Only what exists for this market right now.

Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
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Underlying assetPro+Spot price, the move this market still needs, and how often the asset has managed it before.

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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

1w vol.

$414.4

Bid / Ask

15¢ / 17¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

27¢

Start date

Nov 8, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢

Bids (buy)Size

34¢$5

33¢$5,000

32¢$7,105

31¢$5

30¢$5,138

29¢$5

28¢$5

26¢$6,571

21¢$133

19¢$6,774

Asks (sell)Size

36¢$7,105

37¢$5,005

38¢$5

39¢$5

40¢$5

41¢$5

47¢$3,843

59¢$5,291

65¢$80

70¢$5,198

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (6)

Buys 3%Sells 97%

Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
Time	Side	Price	Size
4 days ago	Sell	38¢	16
4 days ago	Buy	40¢	5
4 days ago	Sell	48¢	40
4 days ago	Sell	48¢	40
4 days ago	Sell	49¢	40
4 days ago	Sell	49¢	40

Rules & resolution

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Event:: Bitcoin above ___ on November 15?
Resolution source:: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT

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