Updated 3 days ago

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 15?

Crypto

3 %

chance

▼ −0.6%1h▼ −3.6%24h

Yes 3¢No 97¢

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Market brief

Down 3.6 pp in the last 24 hours, after touching 33% on Nov 8, 2026.
Historically, 1% of Polymarket Crypto markets priced 0–5% one day before the end resolved YES (1,066 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
Scheduled to end in 3 days (Nov 15, 2026).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

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Bitcoin above ___ on November 15?

11 outcomes

Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$652.82

24h vol.

$69.959

Liquidity

$20.7K

End date

Nov 15, 2026

ends in 3 days

What a plan adds on this market

Only what exists for this market right now.

Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
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Underlying assetPro+Spot price, the move this market still needs, and how often the asset has managed it before.

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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

1w vol.

$652.82

Bid / Ask

3¢ / 4¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

8¢

Start date

Nov 8, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 3¢

Bids (buy)Size

17¢$5

16¢$12,105

15¢$5

14¢$5

13¢$5

12¢$5

11¢$27

7¢$639

4¢$10

3¢$4,814

Asks (sell)Size

20¢$12,100

21¢$5

22¢$5

23¢$5

24¢$5

25¢$5

31¢$10

48¢$3,639

51¢$57

55¢$62

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (7)

Buys 4%Sells 96%

Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
Time	Side	Price	Size
4 days ago	Sell	17¢	10
4 days ago	Sell	25¢	35
4 days ago	Sell	26¢	40
4 days ago	Sell	26¢	40
4 days ago	Sell	26¢	40
4 days ago	Buy	26¢	7
4 days ago	Sell	27¢	5

Rules & resolution

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Event:: Bitcoin above ___ on November 15?
Resolution source:: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT

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