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Updated 2 mo. ago

Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison?

Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison?

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5 %

chance

▲ +0.3%24h▲ +1.0%1W
Yes 5¢No 95¢

Market brief

  • Last 50 trades: 43 buys, 7 sells; the largest was $134 (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 9% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before the end resolved YES (276 cases).
  • Scheduled to end in 1 yr. (Dec 31, 2027).

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Maduro Prison Time?

5 outcomes
See all 5 outcomes

Total volume

$30.8K

24h vol.

$24

1w vol.

$216.96

1m vol.

$1.5K

Liquidity

$24.1K

Bid / Ask

3¢ / 8¢

Spread 5¢

Last trade

8¢

Start date

Jan 4, 2026

End date

Dec 31, 2027

ends in 1 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 276 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 9.4% resolved YES. Their average price was 9.5%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

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  • Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
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See plans · 7 days for $3
Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
0¢$38
0¢$1,134
0¢$5,300
0¢$10,366
Asks (sell)Size
2¢$36
2¢$62
2¢$173
3¢$53
4¢$20
4¢$20
7¢$25
7¢$20
7¢$20
8¢$25

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (50)

Buys 82%Sells 18%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 mo. agoBuy1¢138
2 mo. agoSell2¢38
2 mo. agoSell1¢100
2 mo. agoSell0¢20
2 mo. agoBuy0¢20
2 mo. agoBuy99¢40
2 mo. agoBuy1¢40
2 mo. agoBuy99¢40
2 mo. agoBuy1¢40
2 mo. agoBuy99¢20
2 mo. agoBuy1¢20
2 mo. agoBuy99¢13
2 mo. agoBuy1¢13
2 mo. agoBuy99¢90
2 mo. agoBuy1¢90
2 mo. agoBuy99¢4
2 mo. agoBuy1¢4
2 mo. agoBuy99¢15
2 mo. agoBuy1¢3
2 mo. agoBuy1¢12
2 mo. agoBuy99¢20
2 mo. agoBuy1¢20
2 mo. agoBuy99¢20
2 mo. agoBuy1¢20
2 mo. agoBuy99¢20
2 mo. agoBuy1¢20
2 mo. agoBuy99¢10
2 mo. agoBuy1¢4
2 mo. agoBuy1¢7
2 mo. agoBuy2¢100
2 mo. agoSell2¢76
2 mo. agoSell2¢24
2 mo. agoBuy2¢80
2 mo. agoSell2¢47
2 mo. agoBuy98¢33
2 mo. agoBuy100¢2
2 mo. agoBuy0¢2
2 mo. agoSell0¢10
2 mo. agoBuy0¢5
2 mo. agoBuy0¢5
2 mo. agoBuy99¢5
2 mo. agoBuy1¢5
2 mo. agoBuy99¢135
2 mo. agoBuy1¢35
2 mo. agoBuy1¢100
2 mo. agoBuy99¢70
2 mo. agoBuy1¢70
2 mo. agoBuy99¢13
2 mo. agoBuy1¢13
2 mo. agoBuy99¢5

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