← Dashboard · Politics
Updated 3 mo. ago
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?
4 %
chance
Iran leader end of 2026?
30 outcomes- Mojtaba Khamenei87 %
- No Head of State4 %
- Reza Pahlavi3 %
- Alireza Arafi2 %
- Hassan Rouhani1 %
- Abbas Araghchi0 %
- Maryam Rajavi0 %
- Ahmad Vahidi0 %
- Masoud Pezeshkian0 %
- Seyed Hossein Mousavian0 %
- Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf0 %
- Mahmoud Ahmadinejad0 %
- Hassan Khomeini0 %
- Sadegh Larijani0 %
- Muhammad Mirbaqiri0 %
- Hassan Shariatmadari0 %
- Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel0 %
- Reza Pirzadeh0 %
- Mohammad Khatami0 %
- Mustafa Hijri0 %
- Sadegh Mahsouli0 %
- Ali Asghar Hejazi0 %
- Saeed Jalili0 %
- Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani0 %
- Nasir Hosseini0 %
- Navid Shomali0 %
- Mostafa Pourmohammadi0 %
- Massoud Rajavi0 %
- Mohsen Araki0 %
- Ali Motahari0 %
Total volume
$1.2M
24h vol.
$103.97
1w vol.
$965.683
1m vol.
$8.5K
Liquidity
$33.8K
Bid / Ask
3¢ / 5¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
4¢
Start date
Mar 1, 2026
End date
Dec 31, 2026
ends in 2 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 0¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 93¢ | 5 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 93¢ | 5 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 93¢ | 5 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 93¢ | 5 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 93¢ | 9 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 93¢ | 9 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 93¢ | 9 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 93¢ | 3 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 93¢ | 6 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 93¢ | 12,370 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 12,370 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 12,370 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 93¢ | 12,370 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 12 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 12 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 92¢ | 6 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 6 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 92¢ | 5 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 5 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 125 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 115 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 10 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 8 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 92¢ | 8 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 26 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 7¢ | 26 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 13 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 13 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 6¢ | 25 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 6¢ | 25 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 94¢ | 5 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 94¢ | 5 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 94¢ | 6 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 94¢ | 6 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 12 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 12 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 25 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 25 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 92¢ | 9 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 3 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 6 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 127 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 56 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 50 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 6 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 15 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 93¢ | 6 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 7¢ | 2 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 7¢ | 4 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 94¢ | 6 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
Related markets
The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.