← Dashboard · Politics
Updated 2 wk. ago

Will Reza Pirzadeh be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
0 %
chance
Iran leader end of 2026?
30 outcomes- Mojtaba Khamenei87 %
- No Head of State4 %
- Reza Pahlavi3 %
- Alireza Arafi2 %
- Hassan Rouhani1 %
- Abbas Araghchi0 %
- Maryam Rajavi0 %
- Ahmad Vahidi0 %
- Masoud Pezeshkian0 %
- Seyed Hossein Mousavian0 %
- Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf0 %
- Mahmoud Ahmadinejad0 %
- Hassan Khomeini0 %
- Sadegh Larijani0 %
- Muhammad Mirbaqiri0 %
- Hassan Shariatmadari0 %
- Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel0 %
- Reza Pirzadeh0 %
- Mohammad Khatami0 %
- Mustafa Hijri0 %
- Sadegh Mahsouli0 %
- Ali Asghar Hejazi0 %
- Saeed Jalili0 %
- Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani0 %
- Nasir Hosseini0 %
- Navid Shomali0 %
- Mostafa Pourmohammadi0 %
- Massoud Rajavi0 %
- Mohsen Araki0 %
- Ali Motahari0 %
Total volume
$187.8K
24h vol.
$16.1K
1w vol.
$31.1K
1m vol.
$36.9K
Liquidity
$90.2K
Last trade
0¢
Start date
Mar 1, 2026
End date
Dec 31, 2026
ends in 2 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
No orders
Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 16,124 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 76 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 2,500 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1,300 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 35 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 6 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 37 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 15 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 12,155 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 15,000 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 11,177 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 755 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 35 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 3,033 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1,000 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1,000 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1,000 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 248 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 752 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 0 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 0 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 321 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 100 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 221 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 763 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 763 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 763 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 407 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 356 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 717 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 717 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 717 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 717 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 47 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 47 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 17 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 17 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 17 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 17 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 30 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 30 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 29 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 29 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 0 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 0 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 130 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 130 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 130 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 130 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 13 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
Related markets
The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.