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Updated 1 wk. ago

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

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87 %

chance

▼ −0.2%1h▲ +0.2%24h▲ +0.1%1W
Yes 87¢No 13¢

Iran leader end of 2026?

30 outcomes
See all 30 outcomes

Total volume

$6.7M

24h vol.

$4.4K

1w vol.

$37.7K

1m vol.

$235.1K

Liquidity

$74.6K

Bid / Ask

87¢ / 88¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

87¢

Start date

Mar 1, 2026

End date

Dec 31, 2026

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 515 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 85–95% seven days before resolution, 88.0% resolved YES. Their average price was 90.1%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
87¢$490
87¢$11
86¢$627
86¢$500
86¢$1,500
86¢$2,200
85¢$700
85¢$110
85¢$244
85¢$340
Asks (sell)Size
88¢$141
88¢$2,884
88¢$810
88¢$1,000
89¢$2,000
89¢$1,789
89¢$8
89¢$5,400
89¢$7,261
89¢$1,500

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 37%Sells 63%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 wk. agoSell87¢785
1 wk. agoBuy87¢22
1 wk. agoBuy87¢92
1 wk. agoBuy88¢206
1 wk. agoBuy88¢145
1 wk. agoSell13¢320
1 wk. agoSell87¢0
1 wk. agoBuy87¢0
1 wk. agoSell87¢1
1 wk. agoBuy87¢1
1 wk. agoSell87¢1
1 wk. agoBuy87¢1
1 wk. agoSell12¢640
1 wk. agoSell88¢428
1 wk. agoSell88¢73
1 wk. agoBuy12¢109
1 wk. agoBuy12¢30
1 wk. agoSell12¢212
1 wk. agoBuy12¢100
1 wk. agoBuy12¢111
1 wk. agoSell87¢15
1 wk. agoBuy87¢15
1 wk. agoBuy12¢111
1 wk. agoSell12¢6
1 wk. agoBuy88¢106
1 wk. agoSell88¢0
1 wk. agoBuy88¢0
1 wk. agoSell88¢1
1 wk. agoBuy88¢1
1 wk. agoSell88¢627
1 wk. agoSell12¢212
1 wk. agoBuy88¢117
1 wk. agoBuy88¢109
1 wk. agoSell12¢5
1 wk. agoBuy88¢172
1 wk. agoBuy88¢12
1 wk. agoSell12¢942
1 wk. agoBuy12¢5
1 wk. agoBuy12¢6
1 wk. agoBuy12¢500
1 wk. agoBuy12¢227
1 wk. agoBuy12¢56
1 wk. agoBuy12¢135
1 wk. agoBuy12¢5
1 wk. agoBuy12¢5
1 wk. agoBuy12¢3
1 wk. agoSell12¢160
1 wk. agoBuy12¢2
1 wk. agoBuy12¢157
1 wk. agoSell88¢0

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