← Dashboard · Politics

Updated 3 mo. ago

Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Other

0 %

chance

▼ −0.1%24h▼ −0.1%1W

Yes 0¢No 100¢

Total volume

$927.6K

24h vol.

$25.16

1w vol.

$445.561

1m vol.

$4.7K

Liquidity

$51.1K

Bid / Ask

0¢ / 0¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

0¢

Start date

Mar 1, 2026

End date

Dec 31, 2026

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢

Bids (buy)Size

1¢$54

1¢$20

1¢$397

1¢$2,649

1¢$2,372

1¢$5,111

1¢$2,111

0¢$3,361

0¢$3,889

0¢$3,376

Asks (sell)Size

1¢$2,101

2¢$200

2¢$18

2¢$109

2¢$40

2¢$1,200

2¢$380

3¢$1,090

4¢$30

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 50%Sells 50%

Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
Time	Side	Price	Size
3 mo. ago	Sell	1¢	11,530
3 mo. ago	Sell	99¢	11,530
3 mo. ago	Buy	99¢	11,530
3 mo. ago	Buy	1¢	11,530
3 mo. ago	Buy	1¢	77
3 mo. ago	Sell	1¢	77
3 mo. ago	Sell	99¢	10
3 mo. ago	Sell	1¢	10
3 mo. ago	Sell	99¢	596
3 mo. ago	Sell	1¢	538
3 mo. ago	Sell	1¢	5
3 mo. ago	Sell	1¢	7
3 mo. ago	Sell	1¢	5
3 mo. ago	Sell	1¢	42
3 mo. ago	Buy	99¢	596
3 mo. ago	Buy	1¢	19
3 mo. ago	Buy	1¢	5
3 mo. ago	Buy	1¢	7
3 mo. ago	Buy	1¢	8
3 mo. ago	Buy	1¢	15
3 mo. ago	Buy	1¢	100
3 mo. ago	Buy	1¢	5
3 mo. ago	Buy	1¢	438
3 mo. ago	Buy	99¢	10
3 mo. ago	Buy	1¢	10
3 mo. ago	Sell	1¢	8
3 mo. ago	Buy	1¢	8
3 mo. ago	Sell	1¢	25
3 mo. ago	Buy	1¢	25
3 mo. ago	Sell	1¢	277
3 mo. ago	Buy	1¢	277
3 mo. ago	Sell	99¢	11,293
3 mo. ago	Sell	1¢	11,293
3 mo. ago	Buy	1¢	11,570
3 mo. ago	Buy	99¢	11,293
3 mo. ago	Buy	99¢	267
3 mo. ago	Sell	1¢	10
3 mo. ago	Sell	1¢	1,701
3 mo. ago	Buy	1¢	1,701
3 mo. ago	Sell	1¢	269
3 mo. ago	Buy	1¢	269
3 mo. ago	Sell	1¢	70
3 mo. ago	Buy	1¢	70
3 mo. ago	Sell	1¢	1
3 mo. ago	Sell	99¢	1
3 mo. ago	Sell	1¢	2
3 mo. ago	Sell	99¢	2
3 mo. ago	Sell	1¢	27
3 mo. ago	Sell	99¢	27
3 mo. ago	Sell	1¢	36

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.

Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.