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Updated 2 days ago

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
85 %
chance
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
10 outcomesTotal volume
$280.4K
24h vol.
$207.42
1w vol.
$34.1K
1m vol.
$82.3K
Liquidity
$56.7K
Bid / Ask
83¢ / 86¢
Spread 3¢
Last trade
82¢
Start date
May 19, 2026
End date
Jan 5, 2027
ends in 3 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 1,762 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 65–85% seven days before resolution, 68.5% resolved YES. That is 4.6 points less often than their average price of 73.1% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 days ago | Sell | 16¢ | 10 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 84¢ | 10 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 83¢ | 5 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 83¢ | 5 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 83¢ | 10 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 83¢ | 10 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 17¢ | 64 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 83¢ | 64 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 17¢ | 95 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 83¢ | 45 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 83¢ | 50 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 85¢ | 1 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 85¢ | 1 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 84¢ | 10 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 84¢ | 10 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 82¢ | 497 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 82¢ | 497 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 83¢ | 30 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 83¢ | 30 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 87¢ | 2 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 87¢ | 2 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 15¢ | 2,000 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 85¢ | 1,356 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 85¢ | 190 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 85¢ | 100 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 85¢ | 50 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 85¢ | 5 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 86¢ | 59 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 14¢ | 150 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 14¢ | 40 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 86¢ | 50 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 17¢ | 829 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 83¢ | 400 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 17¢ | 30 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 84¢ | 200 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 84¢ | 199 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 14¢ | 10 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 14¢ | 10 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 87¢ | 1 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 87¢ | 1 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 87¢ | 1 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 87¢ | 1 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 13¢ | 406 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 13¢ | 31 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 13¢ | 150 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 13¢ | 50 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 87¢ | 100 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 87¢ | 75 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 88¢ | 31 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 88¢ | 31 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
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◆ Kalshi comparison
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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
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