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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

Politics
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89 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h▼ −1.0%1W
Yes 89¢No 11¢

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

36 outcomes

Total volume

$18.1K

24h vol.

$134.776

1w vol.

$838.385

1m vol.

$6K

Liquidity

$21.9K

Bid / Ask

88¢ / 90¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

89¢

Start date

Jun 1, 2026

End date

Apr 19, 2027

ends in 6 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 515 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 85–95% seven days before resolution, 88.0% resolved YES. Their average price was 90.1%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
87¢$156
86¢$3,800
85¢$261
84¢$20
83¢$54
82¢$356
81¢$28
80¢$200
79¢$267
73¢$5
Asks (sell)Size
88¢$5
89¢$73
90¢$101
91¢$123
92¢$40
93¢$986
94¢$16,450
95¢$520
96¢$1,030
97¢$12,250

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

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uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 88%Sells 12%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell87¢30
1 mo. agoBuy87¢30
1 mo. agoSell87¢20
1 mo. agoBuy87¢20
1 mo. agoBuy88¢114
1 mo. agoBuy12¢99
1 mo. agoBuy12¢5
1 mo. agoBuy12¢5
1 mo. agoBuy12¢4
1 mo. agoBuy88¢6
1 mo. agoBuy12¢1
1 mo. agoBuy12¢5
1 mo. agoBuy13¢15
1 mo. agoBuy87¢15
1 mo. agoBuy13¢15
1 mo. agoBuy87¢15
1 mo. agoBuy13¢771
1 mo. agoBuy87¢394
1 mo. agoBuy87¢354
1 mo. agoBuy88¢10
1 mo. agoBuy88¢13
1 mo. agoSell11¢8
1 mo. agoBuy11¢8
1 mo. agoBuy12¢8
1 mo. agoBuy88¢7
1 mo. agoBuy88¢2
1 mo. agoSell11¢20
1 mo. agoBuy11¢20
1 mo. agoBuy12¢20
1 mo. agoBuy88¢13
1 mo. agoBuy88¢5
1 mo. agoBuy88¢2
1 mo. agoSell11¢8
1 mo. agoBuy11¢8
1 mo. agoBuy12¢8
1 mo. agoBuy88¢8
1 mo. agoSell11¢20
1 mo. agoBuy11¢20
1 mo. agoBuy89¢43
1 mo. agoBuy11¢20
1 mo. agoSell89¢23
1 mo. agoSell88¢36
1 mo. agoBuy87¢16
1 mo. agoBuy88¢20
1 mo. agoBuy13¢10
1 mo. agoBuy87¢10
1 mo. agoBuy12¢20
1 mo. agoBuy88¢20
1 mo. agoSell87¢140
1 mo. agoBuy87¢120

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