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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

Politics
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6 %

chance

▲ +0.1%24h▲ +2.4%1W
Yes 6¢No 94¢

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

36 outcomes

Total volume

$15.7K

24h vol.

$176

1w vol.

$2.3K

1m vol.

$5.1K

Liquidity

$17.9K

Bid / Ask

5¢ / 7¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

5¢

Start date

Jun 1, 2026

End date

Apr 19, 2027

ends in 6 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 222 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 10.4% resolved YES. Their average price was 9.5%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
6¢$230
6¢$570
5¢$202
5¢$500
5¢$40
5¢$580
5¢$55
5¢$30
5¢$89
4¢$103
Asks (sell)Size
7¢$50
8¢$500
8¢$375
9¢$500
11¢$100
11¢$200
12¢$400
12¢$430
19¢$500
20¢$200

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 62%Sells 38%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoBuy7¢246
1 mo. agoSell7¢3
1 mo. agoSell7¢163
1 mo. agoSell7¢50
1 mo. agoBuy93¢30
1 mo. agoSell8¢46
1 mo. agoSell92¢16
1 mo. agoSell92¢30
1 mo. agoSell89¢20
1 mo. agoBuy89¢20
1 mo. agoSell90¢57
1 mo. agoBuy90¢30
1 mo. agoSell10¢27
1 mo. agoSell5¢1,236
1 mo. agoBuy5¢353
1 mo. agoBuy5¢500
1 mo. agoBuy5¢43
1 mo. agoBuy6¢27
1 mo. agoSell95¢50
1 mo. agoBuy6¢163
1 mo. agoBuy6¢50
1 mo. agoBuy6¢50
1 mo. agoSell90¢22
1 mo. agoSell10¢22
1 mo. agoSell90¢50
1 mo. agoSell10¢50
1 mo. agoSell90¢50
1 mo. agoSell10¢50
1 mo. agoSell90¢31
1 mo. agoSell10¢31
1 mo. agoBuy8¢1,236
1 mo. agoBuy91¢31
1 mo. agoBuy91¢157
1 mo. agoSell8¢100
1 mo. agoBuy92¢236
1 mo. agoBuy92¢50
1 mo. agoBuy92¢50
1 mo. agoBuy92¢100
1 mo. agoBuy92¢300
1 mo. agoSell8¢110
1 mo. agoSell8¢12
1 mo. agoSell7¢55
1 mo. agoSell7¢35
1 mo. agoBuy95¢5
1 mo. agoBuy5¢5
1 mo. agoBuy94¢54
1 mo. agoBuy6¢54
1 mo. agoBuy94¢5
1 mo. agoBuy6¢5
1 mo. agoBuy94¢1

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