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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Ségolène Royal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

Will Ségolène Royal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

Politics
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3 %

chance

▼ −0.3%24h▼ −2.1%1W
Yes 3¢No 97¢

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

36 outcomes

Total volume

$4.9K

24h vol.

$100

1w vol.

$683

1m vol.

$1.8K

Liquidity

$16.6K

Bid / Ask

3¢ / 4¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

4¢

Start date

Jun 1, 2026

End date

Apr 19, 2027

ends in 6 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
2¢$50
2¢$50
1¢$50
1¢$90
1¢$150
1¢$209
0¢$583
0¢$27,164
Asks (sell)Size
2¢$5
2¢$70
3¢$100
4¢$34
4¢$300
9¢$11
20¢$50
20¢$500
59¢$150
59¢$250

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 71%Sells 29%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoBuy97¢15
1 mo. agoBuy3¢15
1 mo. agoBuy97¢30
1 mo. agoBuy3¢30
1 mo. agoBuy97¢5
1 mo. agoBuy3¢5
1 mo. agoBuy96¢197
1 mo. agoBuy3¢50
1 mo. agoBuy4¢50
1 mo. agoBuy4¢50
1 mo. agoBuy5¢47
1 mo. agoSell5¢3
1 mo. agoBuy5¢3
1 mo. agoBuy5¢50
1 mo. agoSell5¢50
2 mo. agoSell98¢5
2 mo. agoSell2¢5
2 mo. agoSell1¢41
2 mo. agoBuy1¢20
2 mo. agoBuy1¢21
2 mo. agoSell93¢1
2 mo. agoBuy93¢1
2 mo. agoBuy99¢5
2 mo. agoBuy1¢5
2 mo. agoBuy99¢1
2 mo. agoBuy1¢1
2 mo. agoBuy99¢2
2 mo. agoBuy1¢2
2 mo. agoBuy3¢177
2 mo. agoBuy91¢8
2 mo. agoSell9¢10
2 mo. agoSell2¢100
2 mo. agoSell2¢59
3 mo. agoSell98¢1
3 mo. agoSell2¢1
3 mo. agoSell98¢0
3 mo. agoSell2¢0
3 mo. agoSell98¢0
3 mo. agoSell2¢0
3 mo. agoBuy100¢2
3 mo. agoSell100¢2
3 mo. agoSell98¢1
3 mo. agoSell2¢1
3 mo. agoSell98¢0
3 mo. agoSell2¢0
3 mo. agoSell98¢0
3 mo. agoSell2¢0
3 mo. agoSell1¢25
3 mo. agoSell100¢25
3 mo. agoSell98¢0

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