Skip to content

← Dashboard · Politics

Updated 2 wk. ago

Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

Politics
Log in for watchlist

15 %

chance

▼ −0.1%24h▼ −0.5%1W
Yes 15¢No 85¢

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

36 outcomes

Total volume

$167.3K

24h vol.

$570.715

1w vol.

$19.7K

1m vol.

$120.9K

Liquidity

$71.7K

Bid / Ask

14¢ / 15¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

14¢

Start date

Jun 1, 2026

End date

Apr 19, 2027

ends in 6 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 222 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 10.4% resolved YES. Their average price was 9.5%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
14¢$2,500
14¢$5,174
13¢$2,776
13¢$440
13¢$1,500
12¢$1,500
12¢$50,000
12¢$500
12¢$1,400
12¢$108
Asks (sell)Size
14¢$50
14¢$12
14¢$1,500
15¢$220
15¢$312
15¢$5,128
16¢$1,762
16¢$10
17¢$712
17¢$2,000

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 94%Sells 6%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 wk. agoBuy86¢4,988
2 wk. agoBuy14¢2,000
2 wk. agoBuy14¢2,988
2 wk. agoBuy86¢12
2 wk. agoBuy14¢12
2 wk. agoBuy86¢2,500
2 wk. agoBuy14¢2,500
2 wk. agoBuy86¢47
2 wk. agoSell86¢37
2 wk. agoSell85¢9
2 wk. agoBuy85¢630
2 wk. agoBuy15¢600
2 wk. agoBuy15¢30
2 wk. agoSell85¢40
2 wk. agoBuy85¢40
2 wk. agoBuy86¢510
2 wk. agoSell86¢500
2 wk. agoBuy15¢10
2 wk. agoSell83¢60
2 wk. agoBuy83¢14
2 wk. agoBuy83¢10
2 wk. agoBuy83¢10
2 wk. agoBuy83¢26
2 wk. agoSell83¢24
2 wk. agoBuy83¢24
2 wk. agoSell84¢6
2 wk. agoSell17¢6
2 wk. agoBuy85¢6
2 wk. agoBuy15¢6
2 wk. agoBuy17¢556
2 wk. agoBuy83¢471
2 wk. agoBuy83¢10
2 wk. agoBuy83¢10
2 wk. agoBuy83¢10
2 wk. agoBuy84¢5
2 wk. agoBuy85¢50
2 wk. agoSell14¢26
2 wk. agoSell86¢26
2 wk. agoBuy84¢6
2 wk. agoSell84¢6
2 wk. agoBuy83¢6
2 wk. agoBuy17¢6
2 wk. agoSell17¢6
2 wk. agoBuy17¢6
2 wk. agoBuy83¢12
2 wk. agoBuy17¢2
2 wk. agoBuy17¢10
2 wk. agoSell16¢164
2 wk. agoSell84¢154
2 wk. agoBuy17¢10

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.

Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.