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Updated 4 wk. ago

Will Mathilde Panot advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
3 %
chance
Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
36 outcomes- Marine Le Pen89 %
- Édouard Philippe42 %
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon39 %
- David Lisnard15 %
- Raphaël Glucksmann10 %
- Bruno Retailleau6 %
- Gabriel Attal6 %
- François Hollande6 %
- Jordan Bardella6 %
- Dominique de Villepin5 %
- Juan Branco5 %
- Manuel Bompard5 %
- Éric Zemmour5 %
- Sarah Knafo4 %
- Sébastien Lecornu4 %
- Gérald Darmanin4 %
- François Ruffin4 %
- Élisabeth Borne4 %
- Bernard Cazeneuve4 %
- François Asselineau4 %
- Fabien Roussel3 %
- François Bayrou3 %
- Nicolas Dupont-Aignan3 %
- Ségolène Royal3 %
- Yaël Braun-Pivet3 %
- Clémence Guetté3 %
- Mathilde Panot3 %
- Carole Delga3 %
- Laurent Wauquiez2 %
- Clémentine Autain2 %
- Marine Tondelier2 %
- Michel Barnier1 %
- Valérie Pécresse1 %
- Jean Castex1 %
- Xavier Bertrand1 %
- Olivier Faure1 %
Total volume
$1.9K
24h vol.
$10
1w vol.
$21.18
1m vol.
$240.7
Liquidity
$11.5K
Bid / Ask
1¢ / 4¢
Spread 3¢
Last trade
2¢
Start date
Jun 1, 2026
End date
Apr 19, 2027
ends in 6 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 0¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 52 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 52 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 35 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 35 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 6 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 6 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 15 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 12 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 8 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 374 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 228 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 6 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 7¢ | 20 |
| 4 mo. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 17 |
| 4 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 17 |
| 4 mo. ago | Sell | 98¢ | 81 |
◆ Smart money
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A signal is present in this market.
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◆ Kalshi comparison
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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
Related markets
The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.