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Updated 21 min. ago

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?
Politics
0 %
chance
▼ −0.2%1h▼ −1.3%24h▼ −3.6%1W
Yes 0¢No 100¢
Market brief
- Down 3.6 pp over the past week (−1.3 pp in the last 24 hours), after touching 4% on Oct 19, 2026.
- Last 50 trades: 15 buys, 35 sells; the largest was $549 (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
- Scheduled to end in 3 hr. (Oct 26, 2026).
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Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
8 outcomesTotal volume
$1.3M
24h vol.
$347.2K
1w vol.
$957.2K
1m vol.
$1.3M
Liquidity
$212K
Last trade
0¢
Start date
Oct 5, 2026
End date
Oct 26, 2026
ends in 3 hr.
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Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
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- Smart moneyPro+Who holds the largest positions here, and how each wallet has done on resolved markets.
Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades
Orderbook
Bids (buy)Size
No orders
Asks (sell)Size
0¢$24,711
0¢$35
1¢$58
2¢$150
2¢$988
2¢$1,277
3¢$2,951
3¢$333
5¢$10,000
6¢$23,333
Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (50)
Buys 55%Sells 45%
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 min. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 12 |
| 35 min. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1,632 |
| 35 min. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 2 |
| 36 min. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 134 |
| 37 min. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 447 |
| 37 min. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 12 |
| 38 min. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 2 |
| 38 min. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 2 |
| 38 min. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 10 |
| 41 min. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1,335 |
| 44 min. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 36 |
| 44 min. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 343 |
| 45 min. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 470 |
| 46 min. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 30 |
| 46 min. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 292 |
| 48 min. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 133 |
| 52 min. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1,000 |
| 52 min. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1,000 |
| 54 min. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 5,996 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 586 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 314 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1,000 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 656 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 30 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 40 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 40 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 20 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 83 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 28 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 450 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 550 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 50 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 309 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 50 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 36 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 256 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 90 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 50 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 550 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 100 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 50 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 60 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 134 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 554 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 29 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 20 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 10 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 17 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 20 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 50 |
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