Skip to content

← Dashboard · Politics

Updated 21 min. ago

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?

Politics
Watch this market

0 %

chance

▼ −0.2%1h▼ −1.3%24h▼ −3.6%1W
Yes 0¢No 100¢

Market brief

  • Down 3.6 pp over the past week (−1.3 pp in the last 24 hours), after touching 4% on Oct 19, 2026.
  • Last 50 trades: 15 buys, 35 sells; the largest was $549 (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Scheduled to end in 3 hr. (Oct 26, 2026).

◆ Your call

What's your number?

Pick your own probability before you read the AI — then see how it compares.

50%
Saved in this browser only. No account needed.

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Total volume

$1.3M

24h vol.

$347.2K

1w vol.

$957.2K

1m vol.

$1.3M

Liquidity

$212K

Last trade

0¢

Start date

Oct 5, 2026

End date

Oct 26, 2026

ends in 3 hr.

What a plan adds on this market

Only what exists for this market right now.

  • Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
  • Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
  • Smart moneyPro+Who holds the largest positions here, and how each wallet has done on resolved markets.
See plans · 7 days for $3
Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades

Orderbook

Bids (buy)Size

No orders

Asks (sell)Size
0¢$24,711
0¢$35
1¢$58
2¢$150
2¢$988
2¢$1,277
3¢$2,951
3¢$333
5¢$10,000
6¢$23,333

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (50)

Buys 55%Sells 45%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
28 min. agoBuy0¢12
35 min. agoSell0¢1,632
35 min. agoSell0¢2
36 min. agoSell0¢134
37 min. agoSell0¢447
37 min. agoBuy0¢12
38 min. agoSell0¢2
38 min. agoSell0¢2
38 min. agoSell0¢10
41 min. agoSell0¢1,335
44 min. agoBuy0¢36
44 min. agoSell0¢343
45 min. agoSell0¢470
46 min. agoSell0¢30
46 min. agoBuy0¢292
48 min. agoBuy0¢133
52 min. agoBuy0¢1,000
52 min. agoBuy0¢1,000
54 min. agoBuy0¢5,996
1 hr. agoSell0¢586
1 hr. agoBuy0¢314
1 hr. agoBuy0¢1,000
1 hr. agoBuy0¢656
1 hr. agoBuy0¢30
1 hr. agoBuy0¢40
1 hr. agoBuy0¢40
1 hr. agoBuy0¢20
1 hr. agoSell0¢83
1 hr. agoSell0¢28
1 hr. agoSell0¢450
1 hr. agoSell0¢550
1 hr. agoSell0¢50
1 hr. agoSell0¢309
1 hr. agoSell0¢50
1 hr. agoSell0¢36
1 hr. agoSell0¢256
1 hr. agoSell0¢90
1 hr. agoSell0¢50
1 hr. agoSell0¢550
1 hr. agoSell0¢100
1 hr. agoSell0¢50
1 hr. agoSell0¢60
1 hr. agoSell0¢134
1 hr. agoSell0¢554
1 hr. agoSell0¢29
1 hr. agoSell0¢20
1 hr. agoSell0¢10
1 hr. agoSell0¢17
1 hr. agoSell0¢20
1 hr. agoSell0¢50

Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.

Keep exploring