Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory odds
Live implied probabilities across 8 outcomes · $9.4M traded · updated 1 hr. ago
Resolves Oct 26, 2026
Lula da Silva <4% leads at 87 % · biggest 24h move: Lula da Silva <4% +72.5 pp
#OutcomeChance24hVolume7d
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See the AI's numberFrequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite in Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory?
- Lula da Silva <4% is the current favourite at 87 %, ahead of 7 other outcomes. That number is the market's implied probability right now, and it moves as people trade.
- What do these odds actually mean?
- Each percentage is the market's implied probability — the price of a contract that pays out $1 if that outcome happens. An outcome trading at 30 % means the market thinks it happens roughly three times in ten. Across a field like this the percentages add up to about 100 %, because exactly one outcome can win.
- How often do these odds update?
- Prices refresh every 15 minutes from Polymarket. The 24-hour column shows how far each outcome has moved in percentage points since yesterday.
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