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Updated 22 min. ago
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
Politics
0 %
chance
▼ −1.3%1h▼ −44.5%24h▼ −39.0%1W
Yes 0¢No 100¢
Market brief
- Down 39.0 pp over the past week (−44.5 pp in the last 24 hours), after touching 57% on Oct 25, 2026.
- Last 50 trades: 6 buys, 44 sells; the largest was $627 (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
- Scheduled to end in 3 hr. (Oct 26, 2026).
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Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
8 outcomesTotal volume
$1.6M
24h vol.
$730.4K
1w vol.
$1.2M
1m vol.
$1.6M
Liquidity
$47.8K
Bid / Ask
0¢ / 0¢
Spread 0¢
Last trade
0¢
Start date
Oct 5, 2026
End date
Oct 26, 2026
ends in 3 hr.
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Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
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- Smart moneyPro+Who holds the largest positions here, and how each wallet has done on resolved markets.
Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades
Orderbook
Spread: 0¢Bids (buy)Size
0¢$5,628
Asks (sell)Size
0¢$505
0¢$1,627
1¢$306
1¢$800
1¢$291
1¢$1,000
1¢$2,098
2¢$200
2¢$1,000
2¢$2,301
Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (50)
Buys 15%Sells 85%
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 min. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 12 |
| 31 min. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 5,235 |
| 31 min. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 100 |
| 31 min. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 4,129 |
| 32 min. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 2,468 |
| 32 min. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 24 |
| 33 min. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 31 |
| 33 min. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 30 |
| 33 min. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 28 |
| 33 min. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 10 |
| 33 min. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 66 |
| 33 min. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 30 |
| 34 min. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1 |
| 34 min. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1 |
| 34 min. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1 |
| 34 min. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1 |
| 34 min. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1 |
| 34 min. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 8,596 |
| 34 min. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1 |
| 34 min. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1 |
| 34 min. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 215 |
| 34 min. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1 |
| 34 min. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1 |
| 34 min. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1 |
| 34 min. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1 |
| 34 min. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1 |
| 34 min. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 10,000 |
| 34 min. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1 |
| 35 min. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1,000 |
| 35 min. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 100 |
| 35 min. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1,000 |
| 35 min. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 4,766 |
| 35 min. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 28 |
| 36 min. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 30 |
| 36 min. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 628 |
| 36 min. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 10 |
| 36 min. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 2 |
| 37 min. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 10 |
| 37 min. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 16 |
| 38 min. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1,760 |
| 38 min. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 135 |
| 38 min. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 5 |
| 39 min. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 2 |
| 39 min. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 2 |
| 39 min. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 10 |
| 39 min. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 49 |
| 41 min. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 2 |
| 42 min. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 1,488 |
| 42 min. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1,003 |
| 43 min. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1,206 |
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