← Dashboard · Politics
Updated 3 days ago
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16?
100 %
chance
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
9 outcomesTotal volume
$428.3K
24h vol.
$339.9K
1w vol.
$428.3K
1m vol.
$428.3K
Liquidity
$57.4K
Bid / Ask
100¢ / 100¢
Spread 0¢
Last trade
100¢
Start date
Oct 15, 2026
End date
Oct 17, 2026
trading closed
Orderbook
No orders
Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1,204 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 0¢ | 796 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 0¢ | 407 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 300 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 0¢ | 105 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 195 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 5 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 5 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1,000 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 1,000 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 2,133 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 2,133 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 5,698 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 0¢ | 5,698 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 500 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 0¢ | 500 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 0¢ | 699 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 699 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 2 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 2 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 5,600 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 0¢ | 600 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 0¢ | 5,000 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 8,980 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 3,780 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 0¢ | 5,000 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 0¢ | 200 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 1,650 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1,650 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 0¢ | 2,500 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 2,500 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 0¢ | 508 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 508 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 0¢ | 508 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 508 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 2,000 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 2,000 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 500 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 0¢ | 200 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 300 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 766 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 766 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 0¢ | 10,000 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 10,000 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 17 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 17 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 5,000 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 5,000 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 5 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 5 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
Related markets
The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.