← Dashboard · Sports
Updated 3 days ago
Will Lionel Messi attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?
49 %
chance
Who will attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?
14 outcomesTotal volume
$7.1K
24h vol.
$1.3K
1w vol.
$7.1K
1m vol.
$7.1K
Liquidity
$1.4K
Bid / Ask
48¢ / 49¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
49¢
Start date
Oct 16, 2026
End date
Dec 1, 2026
ends in 1 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 8,434 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 48.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 49.1%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 82¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades
No trades were found for this market.
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
Related markets
The most-traded open Sports markets from other events.