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Updated 2 days ago

Will Michael Owen attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?

Will Michael Owen attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?

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73 %

chance

▼ −7.0%1h▲ +12.0%24h
Yes 73¢No 27¢

Total volume

$1.2K

24h vol.

$241.96

1w vol.

$1.2K

1m vol.

$1.2K

Liquidity

$637.698

Bid / Ask

72¢ / 74¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

73¢

Start date

Oct 16, 2026

End date

Dec 1, 2026

ends in 1 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 1,561 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 65–85% seven days before resolution, 67.1% resolved YES. That is 5.6 points less often than their average price of 72.7% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
51¢$195
50¢$47
49¢$71
48¢$30
36¢$120
32¢$20
31¢$40
30¢$40
6¢$20
5¢$12
Asks (sell)Size
52¢$163
53¢$93
54¢$51
55¢$80
56¢$100
59¢$9
95¢$10
96¢$12
98¢$7
99¢$26

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

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Recent trades (24)

Buys 92%Sells 8%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 days agoBuy43¢222
2 days agoSell44¢22
2 days agoBuy57¢20
2 days agoSell43¢20
2 days agoBuy57¢100
2 days agoBuy57¢20
2 days agoBuy58¢20
2 days agoSell42¢20
3 days agoSell41¢21
3 days agoBuy41¢21
3 days agoBuy30¢289
3 days agoBuy67¢20
3 days agoBuy69¢21
3 days agoBuy70¢23
3 days agoBuy70¢20
3 days agoBuy70¢20
3 days agoBuy70¢20
3 days agoBuy70¢20
3 days agoBuy71¢20
3 days agoBuy71¢20
3 days agoBuy71¢20
3 days agoBuy71¢20
3 days agoBuy71¢45
3 days agoBuy71¢20

◆ Smart money

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Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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