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Updated 2 days ago
Will Sergio Ramos attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?
30 %
chance
Who will attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?
14 outcomesTotal volume
$6.9K
24h vol.
$969.173
1w vol.
$6.9K
1m vol.
$6.9K
Liquidity
$500.541
Bid / Ask
28¢ / 31¢
Spread 3¢
Last trade
27¢
Start date
Oct 16, 2026
End date
Dec 1, 2026
ends in 1 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 2,886 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 31.4% resolved YES. That is 5.3 points more often than their average price of 26.1% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 days ago | Sell | 16¢ | 71 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 16¢ | 21 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 84¢ | 50 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 15¢ | 15 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 15¢ | 15 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 85¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 15¢ | 15 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 16¢ | 5 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 15¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 15¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 88¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 12¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 13¢ | 25 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 87¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 87¢ | 5 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 13¢ | 22 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 13¢ | 22 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 83¢ | 0 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 17¢ | 0 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 19¢ | 214 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 18¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 19¢ | 22 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 19¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 19¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 19¢ | 22 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 19¢ | 30 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 19¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 20¢ | 40 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 20¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 83¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 17¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 20¢ | 31 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 21¢ | 2 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 80¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 20¢ | 9 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 20¢ | 5 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 20¢ | 5 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 16¢ | 76 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 20¢ | 6 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 84¢ | 30 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 85¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 85¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 15¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 85¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 14¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 14¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 15¢ | 40 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 85¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 85¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 86¢ | 163 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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