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Updated 2 days ago
Will Xavi Hernandez attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?
29 %
chance
Who will attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?
14 outcomesTotal volume
$4.6K
24h vol.
$1.1K
1w vol.
$4.6K
1m vol.
$4.6K
Liquidity
$965.15
Bid / Ask
27¢ / 31¢
Spread 4¢
Last trade
26¢
Start date
Oct 16, 2026
End date
Dec 1, 2026
ends in 1 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 2,886 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 31.4% resolved YES. That is 5.3 points more often than their average price of 26.1% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 2¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 days ago | Sell | 78¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 78¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 22¢ | 30 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 78¢ | 10 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 22¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 79¢ | 45 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 21¢ | 5 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 21¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 21¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 22¢ | 8 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 78¢ | 8 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 19¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 81¢ | 17 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 81¢ | 3 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 79¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 21¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 25¢ | 302 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 79¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 79¢ | 46 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 21¢ | 6 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 23¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 25¢ | 30 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 25¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 74¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 27¢ | 30 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 28¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 28¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 28¢ | 50 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 72¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 81¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 81¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 25¢ | 193 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 25¢ | 59 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 25¢ | 94 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 25¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 25¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 26¢ | 10 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 26¢ | 5 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 26¢ | 5 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 27¢ | 10 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 26¢ | 5 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 29¢ | 5 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 72¢ | 50 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 21¢ | 10 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 76¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 36¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 77¢ | 7 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 21¢ | 4 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 26¢ | 4 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 18¢ | 498 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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