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Updated 3 days ago
Will Harry Kane attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?
95 %
chance
Who will attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?
14 outcomesTotal volume
$4.5K
24h vol.
$68.69
1w vol.
$4.5K
1m vol.
$4.5K
Liquidity
$6.9K
Bid / Ask
95¢ / 96¢
Spread 0¢
Last trade
96¢
Start date
Oct 16, 2026
End date
Dec 1, 2026
ends in 1 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 178 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 95–100% seven days before resolution, 96.1% resolved YES. Their average price was 98.4%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 47¢Snapshot from cache
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Recent trades (5)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 days ago | Buy | 98¢ | 1 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 2¢ | 1 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 92¢ | 90 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 8¢ | 50 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 9¢ | 40 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
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