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Updated 2 days ago

Will David Beckham attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?

Will David Beckham attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?

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77 %

chance

▲ +0.5%24h
Yes 77¢No 23¢

Total volume

$835.348

24h vol.

$96.113

1w vol.

$835.348

1m vol.

$835.348

Liquidity

$1.5K

Bid / Ask

76¢ / 78¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

77¢

Start date

Oct 16, 2026

End date

Dec 1, 2026

ends in 1 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 1,561 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 65–85% seven days before resolution, 67.1% resolved YES. That is 5.6 points less often than their average price of 72.7% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
65¢$70
64¢$651
61¢$420
55¢$47
54¢$20
53¢$20
46¢$20
45¢$20
6¢$8
5¢$10
Asks (sell)Size
67¢$20
68¢$120
69¢$158
72¢$614
97¢$22
98¢$33
99¢$22

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (29)

Buys 97%Sells 3%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
3 days agoBuy65¢85
3 days agoBuy35¢20
3 days agoBuy35¢45
3 days agoBuy35¢20
3 days agoBuy66¢20
3 days agoBuy34¢20
3 days agoBuy42¢50
3 days agoBuy55¢10
3 days agoSell42¢20
3 days agoSell41¢20
3 days agoBuy42¢13
3 days agoBuy58¢13
3 days agoBuy52¢435
3 days agoBuy45¢20
3 days agoBuy47¢64
3 days agoBuy47¢20
3 days agoBuy47¢20
3 days agoBuy47¢20
3 days agoBuy48¢20
3 days agoBuy48¢37
3 days agoBuy48¢20
3 days agoBuy48¢44
3 days agoBuy48¢20
3 days agoBuy48¢100
3 days agoBuy48¢50
3 days agoBuy42¢3
3 days agoBuy58¢3
3 days agoBuy52¢2
3 days agoBuy48¢2

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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