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Updated 7 hr. ago

Will Rodri attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?

Will Rodri attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?

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99 %

chance

▲ +0.5%1h▲ +10.2%24h
Yes 99¢No 1¢

Total volume

$8.8K

24h vol.

$5.9K

1w vol.

$8.8K

1m vol.

$8.8K

Liquidity

$5.4K

Bid / Ask

99¢ / 99¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

95¢

Start date

Oct 16, 2026

End date

Dec 1, 2026

ends in 1 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 178 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 95–100% seven days before resolution, 96.1% resolved YES. Their average price was 98.4%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
98¢$7
97¢$50
95¢$99
92¢$65
88¢$100
86¢$5,555
85¢$110
76¢$9
41¢$61
33¢$300
Asks (sell)Size
100¢$100
100¢$360
100¢$350

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 52%Sells 48%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
9 hr. agoSell5¢25
9 hr. agoBuy5¢25
9 hr. agoBuy95¢49
9 hr. agoBuy5¢49
9 hr. agoSell6¢140
9 hr. agoBuy6¢90
9 hr. agoBuy6¢50
9 hr. agoSell6¢175
9 hr. agoBuy6¢165
9 hr. agoBuy6¢10
9 hr. agoSell7¢89
9 hr. agoBuy7¢85
9 hr. agoBuy7¢4
9 hr. agoSell7¢21
9 hr. agoBuy7¢16
9 hr. agoSell93¢5
9 hr. agoBuy93¢50
9 hr. agoSell93¢50
9 hr. agoSell8¢344
9 hr. agoBuy8¢50
9 hr. agoBuy8¢264
9 hr. agoSell92¢30
9 hr. agoSell10¢5
9 hr. agoBuy10¢5
9 hr. agoBuy10¢30
9 hr. agoBuy90¢30
9 hr. agoSell8¢50
9 hr. agoSell93¢35
9 hr. agoBuy8¢5
9 hr. agoBuy9¢5
9 hr. agoBuy10¢5
9 hr. agoSell7¢10
9 hr. agoSell93¢10
9 hr. agoSell8¢40
9 hr. agoBuy8¢40
9 hr. agoSell10¢280
9 hr. agoBuy10¢115
9 hr. agoBuy10¢50
9 hr. agoBuy10¢50
9 hr. agoBuy10¢50
9 hr. agoBuy10¢16
9 hr. agoBuy91¢16
9 hr. agoBuy9¢16
9 hr. agoSell90¢1
9 hr. agoSell10¢1
10 hr. agoSell11¢1
10 hr. agoBuy11¢1
10 hr. agoBuy91¢49
10 hr. agoBuy8¢22
10 hr. agoSell92¢12

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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