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Updated 7 hr. ago

Will Rodri attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?
99 %
chance
Who will attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?
14 outcomesTotal volume
$8.8K
24h vol.
$5.9K
1w vol.
$8.8K
1m vol.
$8.8K
Liquidity
$5.4K
Bid / Ask
99¢ / 99¢
Spread 0¢
Last trade
95¢
Start date
Oct 16, 2026
End date
Dec 1, 2026
ends in 1 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 178 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 95–100% seven days before resolution, 96.1% resolved YES. Their average price was 98.4%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 2¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 hr. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 25 |
| 9 hr. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 25 |
| 9 hr. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 49 |
| 9 hr. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 49 |
| 9 hr. ago | Sell | 6¢ | 140 |
| 9 hr. ago | Buy | 6¢ | 90 |
| 9 hr. ago | Buy | 6¢ | 50 |
| 9 hr. ago | Sell | 6¢ | 175 |
| 9 hr. ago | Buy | 6¢ | 165 |
| 9 hr. ago | Buy | 6¢ | 10 |
| 9 hr. ago | Sell | 7¢ | 89 |
| 9 hr. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 85 |
| 9 hr. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 4 |
| 9 hr. ago | Sell | 7¢ | 21 |
| 9 hr. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 16 |
| 9 hr. ago | Sell | 93¢ | 5 |
| 9 hr. ago | Buy | 93¢ | 50 |
| 9 hr. ago | Sell | 93¢ | 50 |
| 9 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 344 |
| 9 hr. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 50 |
| 9 hr. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 264 |
| 9 hr. ago | Sell | 92¢ | 30 |
| 9 hr. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 5 |
| 9 hr. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 5 |
| 9 hr. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 30 |
| 9 hr. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 30 |
| 9 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 50 |
| 9 hr. ago | Sell | 93¢ | 35 |
| 9 hr. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 5 |
| 9 hr. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 5 |
| 9 hr. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 5 |
| 9 hr. ago | Sell | 7¢ | 10 |
| 9 hr. ago | Sell | 93¢ | 10 |
| 9 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 40 |
| 9 hr. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 40 |
| 9 hr. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 280 |
| 9 hr. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 115 |
| 9 hr. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 50 |
| 9 hr. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 50 |
| 9 hr. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 50 |
| 9 hr. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 16 |
| 9 hr. ago | Buy | 91¢ | 16 |
| 9 hr. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 16 |
| 9 hr. ago | Sell | 90¢ | 1 |
| 9 hr. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 1 |
| 10 hr. ago | Sell | 11¢ | 1 |
| 10 hr. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 1 |
| 10 hr. ago | Buy | 91¢ | 49 |
| 10 hr. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 22 |
| 10 hr. ago | Sell | 92¢ | 12 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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