Skip to content

← Dashboard · Sports

Updated 2 days ago

Will Vinícius Júnior attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?

Will Vinícius Júnior attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?

Other
Log in for watchlist

17 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h
Yes 17¢No 84¢

Who will attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?

14 outcomes

Total volume

$9.2K

24h vol.

$22.479

1w vol.

$9.2K

1m vol.

$9.2K

Liquidity

$2.7K

Bid / Ask

16¢ / 17¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

17¢

Start date

Oct 16, 2026

End date

Dec 1, 2026

ends in 1 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 2,886 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 31.4% resolved YES. That is 5.3 points more often than their average price of 26.1% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
16¢$250
15¢$797
14¢$429
13¢$100
10¢$2,246
9¢$56
8¢$513
7¢$291
6¢$333
5¢$400
Asks (sell)Size
17¢$100
18¢$1,145
19¢$225
20¢$100
23¢$50
37¢$20
38¢$50
39¢$300
46¢$9
59¢$50

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 20%Sells 80%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 days agoSell14¢2
2 days agoSell86¢2
2 days agoBuy16¢9
2 days agoBuy84¢9
2 days agoSell83¢300
2 days agoBuy82¢131
2 days agoSell17¢98
2 days agoSell17¢71
2 days agoSell83¢1
2 days agoSell17¢1
2 days agoSell17¢15
2 days agoBuy17¢15
2 days agoBuy79¢18
2 days agoBuy18¢3
2 days agoBuy20¢5
2 days agoBuy21¢5
2 days agoBuy22¢5
2 days agoSell19¢248
2 days agoBuy19¢18
2 days agoBuy19¢50
2 days agoBuy19¢80
2 days agoSell81¢100
2 days agoBuy77¢5
2 days agoBuy23¢5
2 days agoSell20¢171
2 days agoSell80¢166
2 days agoSell79¢5
2 days agoBuy76¢5
2 days agoBuy24¢5
2 days agoSell21¢50
2 days agoSell81¢20
2 days agoBuy22¢20
2 days agoBuy23¢5
2 days agoBuy24¢5
2 days agoSell22¢50
2 days agoBuy22¢50
2 days agoSell22¢294
2 days agoSell78¢294
2 days agoBuy75¢5
2 days agoBuy25¢5
2 days agoSell20¢65
2 days agoSell80¢65
2 days agoSell21¢84
2 days agoSell79¢84
2 days agoBuy77¢50
2 days agoBuy22¢30
2 days agoBuy23¢5
2 days agoBuy24¢5
2 days agoBuy25¢5
2 days agoBuy26¢5

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.

Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

Related markets

The most-traded open Sports markets from other events.