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Updated 3 days ago
Will Lamine Yamal attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?
94 %
chance
Who will attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?
14 outcomesTotal volume
$1.4K
Liquidity
$7.7K
Bid / Ask
94¢ / 95¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
95¢
Start date
Oct 16, 2026
End date
Dec 1, 2026
ends in 1 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 364 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 85–95% seven days before resolution, 85.4% resolved YES. That is 4.4 points less often than their average price of 89.8% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 47¢Snapshot from cache
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Recent trades (3)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 days ago | Buy | 92¢ | 90 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 8¢ | 50 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 9¢ | 40 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
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Related markets
The most-traded open Sports markets from other events.