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Updated 2 days ago

Will Zinedine Zidane attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?
36 %
chance
Who will attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?
14 outcomesTotal volume
$5.4K
24h vol.
$2.3K
1w vol.
$5.4K
1m vol.
$5.4K
Liquidity
$950.064
Bid / Ask
33¢ / 38¢
Spread 5¢
Last trade
35¢
Start date
Oct 16, 2026
End date
Dec 1, 2026
ends in 1 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 8,434 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 48.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 49.1%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 days ago | Sell | 40¢ | 81 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 40¢ | 81 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 54¢ | 843 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 45¢ | 38 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 45¢ | 400 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 45¢ | 27 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 46¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 46¢ | 26 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 47¢ | 47 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 47¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 47¢ | 81 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 47¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 47¢ | 30 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 53¢ | 48 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 48¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 48¢ | 46 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 52¢ | 21 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 50¢ | 2 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 50¢ | 2 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 48¢ | 1 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 48¢ | 1 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 48¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 48¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 49¢ | 120 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 49¢ | 19 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 49¢ | 21 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 49¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 49¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 51¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 50¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 52¢ | 19 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 48¢ | 18 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 52¢ | 1 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 52¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 52¢ | 19 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 49¢ | 1 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 48¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 48¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 49¢ | 150 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 50¢ | 17 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 51¢ | 23 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 51¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 51¢ | 50 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 51¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 49¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 51¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 49¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 25¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 75¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 49¢ | 20 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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