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Updated 2 days ago

Will Zinedine Zidane attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?

Will Zinedine Zidane attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?

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36 %

chance

▲ +1.0%1h▲ +4.0%24h
Yes 36¢No 65¢

Total volume

$5.4K

24h vol.

$2.3K

1w vol.

$5.4K

1m vol.

$5.4K

Liquidity

$950.064

Bid / Ask

33¢ / 38¢

Spread 5¢

Last trade

35¢

Start date

Oct 16, 2026

End date

Dec 1, 2026

ends in 1 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 8,434 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 48.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 49.1%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
40¢$278
39¢$256
38¢$130
37¢$56
36¢$5
9¢$5
8¢$21
3¢$210
2¢$13
1¢$515
Asks (sell)Size
41¢$566
42¢$399
43¢$746
44¢$491
45¢$506
46¢$47
48¢$50
74¢$20
75¢$20
80¢$20

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 85%Sells 15%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 days agoSell40¢81
2 days agoBuy40¢81
3 days agoBuy54¢843
3 days agoBuy45¢38
3 days agoBuy45¢400
3 days agoBuy45¢27
3 days agoBuy46¢20
3 days agoBuy46¢26
3 days agoBuy47¢47
3 days agoBuy47¢20
3 days agoBuy47¢81
3 days agoBuy47¢20
3 days agoBuy47¢30
3 days agoSell53¢48
3 days agoBuy48¢20
3 days agoBuy48¢46
3 days agoSell52¢21
3 days agoBuy50¢2
3 days agoBuy50¢2
3 days agoSell48¢1
3 days agoBuy48¢1
3 days agoSell48¢20
3 days agoBuy48¢20
3 days agoSell49¢120
3 days agoBuy49¢19
3 days agoBuy49¢21
3 days agoBuy49¢20
3 days agoBuy49¢20
3 days agoSell51¢20
3 days agoSell50¢20
3 days agoBuy52¢19
3 days agoBuy48¢18
3 days agoSell52¢1
3 days agoBuy52¢20
3 days agoSell52¢19
3 days agoBuy49¢1
3 days agoSell48¢20
3 days agoBuy48¢20
3 days agoBuy49¢150
3 days agoBuy50¢17
3 days agoBuy51¢23
3 days agoBuy51¢20
3 days agoBuy51¢50
3 days agoBuy51¢20
3 days agoSell49¢20
3 days agoBuy51¢20
3 days agoBuy49¢20
3 days agoBuy25¢20
3 days agoBuy75¢20
3 days agoBuy49¢20

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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