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Updated 29 min. ago

Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

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0 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h▼ −0.1%1W
Yes 0¢No 100¢

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

19 outcomes
See all 19 outcomes

Total volume

$2.9M

24h vol.

$31.4K

1w vol.

$288.2K

1m vol.

$1.1M

Liquidity

$444.7K

Bid / Ask

0¢ / 0¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

0¢

Start date

Sep 22, 2025

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 291 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.4%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
0¢$40,671
Asks (sell)Size
0¢$3,290
0¢$89,493
0¢$90,015
1¢$46,217
1¢$21,548
1¢$11,844
1¢$7,000
1¢$9,250
1¢$10,895
1¢$9,000

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 49%Sells 51%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
38 min. agoBuy100¢25
38 min. agoBuy0¢25
38 min. agoBuy100¢20
38 min. agoBuy0¢20
38 min. agoBuy100¢161
38 min. agoBuy0¢161
38 min. agoBuy100¢8
38 min. agoBuy0¢8
46 min. agoSell0¢400
46 min. agoBuy0¢226
46 min. agoBuy0¢174
47 min. agoSell0¢400
47 min. agoBuy0¢400
1 hr. agoSell0¢400
1 hr. agoBuy0¢400
1 hr. agoSell100¢3
1 hr. agoSell0¢3
1 hr. agoSell100¢13
1 hr. agoSell0¢13
2 hr. agoSell0¢408
2 hr. agoBuy0¢408
2 hr. agoSell100¢408
2 hr. agoSell0¢305
2 hr. agoSell0¢103
2 hr. agoBuy100¢20
2 hr. agoBuy0¢20
2 hr. agoBuy100¢10
2 hr. agoBuy0¢10
2 hr. agoSell100¢13
2 hr. agoSell0¢2
2 hr. agoSell0¢11
2 hr. agoSell0¢400
2 hr. agoBuy0¢400
2 hr. agoSell0¢400
2 hr. agoBuy0¢400
3 hr. agoBuy100¢13
3 hr. agoBuy0¢13
3 hr. agoSell0¢400
3 hr. agoBuy0¢400
3 hr. agoSell0¢400
3 hr. agoBuy0¢400
3 hr. agoSell0¢400
3 hr. agoBuy0¢400
3 hr. agoSell100¢7
3 hr. agoSell0¢7
4 hr. agoSell0¢394
4 hr. agoBuy0¢394
4 hr. agoSell0¢600
4 hr. agoBuy0¢600
4 hr. agoBuy100¢116

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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