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Updated 5 days ago
Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
0 %
chance
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
19 outcomesTotal volume
$457K
24h vol.
$0.01
1w vol.
$11K
1m vol.
$16.2K
Liquidity
$1M
Last trade
0¢
Start date
Sep 22, 2025
End date
Oct 31, 2026
ends in 2 wk.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 291 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.4%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
No orders
Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 10,000 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 0¢ | 10,000 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1,000 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1,000 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1,790 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1,790 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1,330 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1,330 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1,110 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1,110 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1,000 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1,000 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1,420 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1,420 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 29 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 29 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 6 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 6 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 4 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 4 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 4 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 4 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 7 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 7 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1,000 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1,000 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1,000 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1,000 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 9,386 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 3,860 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 3,500 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 20 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1,000 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1,000 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 6 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 5,043 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 5,043 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 5 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 5 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 3,800 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 3,800 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 10 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 10 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 13 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 13 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 23 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 23 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 10 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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