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Updated 3 days ago

Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
0 %
chance
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
19 outcomesTotal volume
$1.6M
24h vol.
$0.01
1w vol.
$24.8K
1m vol.
$252.9K
Liquidity
$650.4K
Last trade
0¢
Start date
Sep 22, 2025
End date
Jan 1, 2027
ends in 2 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 291 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.4%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
No orders
Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 7 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 0¢ | 7 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 10,000 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 0¢ | 10,000 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 8 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 0¢ | 8 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 2 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 0¢ | 2 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 10,000 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 4,666 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 175 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 213 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1,475 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 200 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 200 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 132 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 200 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 200 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 69 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 240 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 256 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 488 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 124 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 25 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 11 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 149 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 195 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 87 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 50 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 200 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 105 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 50 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 100 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 169 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 200 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 22 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1,790 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 132 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 600 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 17 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 30 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 200 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 100 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 12 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 32 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 39 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 143 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 68 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 19 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 200 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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