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Updated 28 min. ago

Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

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0 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h
Yes 0¢No 100¢

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

19 outcomes
See all 19 outcomes

Total volume

$2.9M

24h vol.

$31.9K

1w vol.

$507.7K

1m vol.

$1.6M

Liquidity

$281.7K

Bid / Ask

0¢ / 0¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

0¢

Start date

Sep 22, 2025

End date

Oct 31, 2026

ends in 2 wk.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 291 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.4%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
0¢$181,718
Asks (sell)Size
0¢$81,169
0¢$104,932
0¢$37,643
1¢$598
1¢$20,798
1¢$156
2¢$5,000
2¢$193
3¢$20
4¢$32

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

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Recent trades (50)

Buys 52%Sells 48%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
37 min. agoBuy100¢20
37 min. agoBuy0¢20
37 min. agoBuy100¢25
37 min. agoBuy0¢25
37 min. agoBuy100¢161
37 min. agoBuy0¢161
37 min. agoBuy100¢8
37 min. agoBuy0¢8
2 hr. agoBuy100¢20
2 hr. agoBuy0¢20
2 hr. agoBuy100¢10
2 hr. agoBuy0¢10
2 hr. agoBuy0¢11,500
2 hr. agoSell0¢6,626
2 hr. agoSell0¢66
2 hr. agoSell0¢400
2 hr. agoSell0¢400
2 hr. agoSell0¢401
2 hr. agoSell0¢400
2 hr. agoSell0¢192
2 hr. agoSell0¢400
2 hr. agoSell0¢400
2 hr. agoSell0¢400
2 hr. agoSell0¢400
2 hr. agoSell0¢400
2 hr. agoSell0¢400
2 hr. agoSell0¢400
2 hr. agoSell0¢215
3 hr. agoSell100¢1
3 hr. agoSell0¢1
3 hr. agoBuy100¢1
3 hr. agoBuy0¢1
3 hr. agoSell100¢1
3 hr. agoSell0¢1
3 hr. agoBuy100¢1
3 hr. agoBuy0¢1
3 hr. agoSell100¢1
3 hr. agoSell0¢1
3 hr. agoBuy100¢1
3 hr. agoBuy0¢1
3 hr. agoBuy100¢10
3 hr. agoBuy0¢10
4 hr. agoSell0¢394
4 hr. agoBuy0¢59
4 hr. agoBuy0¢335
4 hr. agoSell0¢600
4 hr. agoBuy0¢600
4 hr. agoBuy100¢116
4 hr. agoBuy0¢116
4 hr. agoBuy100¢181

◆ Smart money

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Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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