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Updated 13 min. ago
Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
0 %
chance
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
19 outcomesTotal volume
$1.1M
24h vol.
$9.7K
1w vol.
$9.7K
1m vol.
$23.7K
Liquidity
$1.1M
Last trade
0¢
Start date
Sep 22, 2025
End date
Oct 31, 2026
ends in 2 wk.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 291 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.4%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
No orders
Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 9,700 |
| 6 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 9,700 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 0 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 0¢ | 0 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1,000 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1,000 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 10,000 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 10,000 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1,000 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1,000 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1,000 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1,000 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1,000 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1,000 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 18 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 18 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 12 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 12 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 22 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 22 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1,000 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1,000 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 2 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 2 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1,000 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1,000 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1,000 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1,000 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 6 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 6 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 8 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 8 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 6 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 6 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1,000 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1,000 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 12 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 12 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1,000 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1,000 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1,000 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1,000 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 6 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 6 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 8 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 8 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 5,313 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 50 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 55 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 52 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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