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Updated 39 min. ago
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?
1 %
chance
Market brief
- Down 91.8 pp in the last 24 hours, after touching 94% on Oct 29, 2026.
- Historically, 2% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% one day before the end resolved YES (700 cases).
- Scheduled to end in 2 days (Nov 5, 2026).
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US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
10 outcomesTotal volume
$637.9K
24h vol.
$355K
1w vol.
$643.2K
1m vol.
$643.2K
Liquidity
$35.2K
Bid / Ask
1¢ / 1¢
Spread 0¢
Last trade
1¢
Start date
Oct 28, 2026
End date
Nov 5, 2026
ends in 2 days
How reliable is this price range?
Of 700 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% one day before resolution, 1.9% resolved YES. Their average price was 0.8%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
- Smart moneyPro+Who holds the largest positions here, and how each wallet has done on resolved markets.
Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades
Orderbook
Spread: 0¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades
Failed to load trades: Upstream request failed (410) for https://data-api.polymarket.com/trades?market=0xb0d59b1a50cdc384b409f675897000513e181795220c6b1e3a0a0be05473fcb7&limit=50&takerOnly=true
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